Storm vs Warriors Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 6, 2026
Last updated: Apr 8, 2026, 10:50AM | Published: Apr 7, 2026, 7:33AM
The Storm will take on the Warriors in NRL Round 6 action at AAMI Park on Saturday, beginning at 7:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Storm vs Warriors game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Melbourne vs New Zealand NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Storm a 76% chance of defeating the Warriors at AAMI Park.
Storm vs Warriors: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.31, Warriors $3.50
- Line: Storm -10.5 ($1.91), Warriors +10.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Storm at $1.31 and the Warriors at $3.50.
The Storm are listed as 10.5-point favourites against the Warriors, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Warriors (+10.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Storm (-10.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 46.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Storm vs Warriors: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.31 with Bet365
- Line: Storm -10.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 46.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Storm vs Warriors betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible advice every time.
Storm vs Warriors: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Warriors at AAMI Park this Saturday is the Storm prevailing 29-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Storm vs Warriors match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Storm vs Warriors: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Storm vs Warriors try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Will Warbrick is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs New Zealand.
Warbrick has a 10.2% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Storm star has a 54.7% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Will Warbrick: 10.2% probability
- Moses Leo: 7.2% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 6.8% probability
- Harry Grant: 5.4% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 5.2% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 7.5% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 5.2% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 3.7% probability
- Leka Halasima: 3.4% probability
- Adam Pompey: 3.4% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Will Warbrick: 54.7% probability
- Moses Leo: 45.0% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 43.9% probability
- Harry Grant: 35.0% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 34.9% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 44.5% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 33.8% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 27.1% probability
- Leka Halasima: 24.7% probability
- Adam Pompey: 23.6% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Storm vs Warriors game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Storm vs Warriors: Essential Details
The NRL Round 6 clash between the Storm and Warriors at AAMI Park is scheduled to begin at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs New Zealand Warriors
- Date: Saturday 11 April 2026
- Kick-off: 7:35pm AEST
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Storm vs Warriors predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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