Storm vs Warriors Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 6, 2026
Last updated: Apr 11, 2026, 9:35AM | Published: Apr 7, 2026, 7:33AM
The Storm will sqaure off with the Warriors in NRL Round 6 action at AAMI Park on Saturday, with kick-off at 7:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Storm vs Warriors game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Melbourne vs New Zealand NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Storm a 76% chance of winning against the Warriors at AAMI Park.
Storm vs Warriors: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.36, Warriors $3.20
- Line: Storm -9.5 ($1.91), Warriors +9.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Storm at $1.36 and the Warriors at $3.20.
The Storm are 9.5-point favourites against the Warriors, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Warriors (+9.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Storm (-9.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 48.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Storm vs Warriors: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.36 with Bet365
- Line: Storm -9.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Storm vs Warriors best bets are based on complex simulations and gambling experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Storm vs Warriors: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Warriors at AAMI Park this Saturday is the Storm winning 29-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Storm vs Warriors match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Storm vs Warriors: Try Scorers
Searching for Storm vs Warriors try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Will Warbrick is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs New Zealand.
Warbrick has a 10.2% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Storm star has a 56.0% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Will Warbrick: 10.2% probability
- Moses Leo: 7.7% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 7.1% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 5.1% probability
- Harry Grant: 5.1% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 8.9% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 6.8% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 3.5% probability
- Leka Halasima: 3.3% probability
- Chanel Harris-Tavita: 2.7% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Will Warbrick: 56.0% probability
- Moses Leo: 45.2% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 44.3% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 35.1% probability
- Harry Grant: 35.1% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 51.3% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 42.4% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 25.2% probability
- Leka Halasima: 21.9% probability
- Chanel Harris-Tavita: 21.2% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Storm vs Warriors match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Storm vs Warriors: Essential Details
The NRL Round 6 clash between the Storm and Warriors at AAMI Park is scheduled to start at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs New Zealand Warriors
- Date: Saturday 11 April 2026
- Kick-off: 7:35pm AEST
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Storm vs Warriors predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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