Storm vs Sharks Prediction and Tips - NRL Preliminary Final 2025
Last updated: Sep 26, 2025, 9:50AM | Published: Sep 21, 2025, 10:20PM
The Storm will face the Sharks in NRL Preliminary Final action at AAMI Park on Friday, with kick-off at 8:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Storm vs Sharks game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Melbourne vs Cronulla NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Storm a 74% chance of beating the Sharks in their NRL preliminary final clash.
Storm vs Sharks: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.35, Sharks $3.35
- Line: Storm -8.5 ($1.91), Sharks +8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Storm at $1.35 and the Sharks at $3.35.
The Storm are 8.5-point favourites against the Sharks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Sharks (+8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Storm (-8.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 42.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Storm vs Sharks: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.35 with Bet365
- Line: Storm -8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Storm vs Sharks best bets are based on detailed modelling and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
Storm vs Sharks: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Sharks at AAMI Park this Friday is the Storm winning 26-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Storm vs Sharks match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Storm vs Sharks: Try Scorers
Searching for Storm vs Sharks try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Xavier Coates is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs Cronulla.
Coates has a 10.2% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Storm star has a 49.4% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 10.2% probability
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 7.7% probability
- Will Warbrick: 7.6% probability
- Eliesa Katoa: 5.8% probability
- Harry Grant: 4.5% probability
Cronulla Sharks
- Ronaldo Mulitalo: 7.2% probability
- Sione Katoa: 5.4% probability
- KL Iro: 4.1% probability
- Braydon Trindall: 3.4% probability
- William Kennedy: 3.0% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 49.4% probability
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 44.5% probability
- Will Warbrick: 42.6% probability
- Eliesa Katoa: 33.9% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 28.1% probability
Cronulla Sharks
- Ronaldo Mulitalo: 39.8% probability
- Sione Katoa: 32.3% probability
- KL Iro: 27.3% probability
- Braydon Trindall: 21.7% probability
- William Kennedy: 19.3% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Storm vs Sharks match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Storm vs Sharks: Essential Details
The NRL Preliminary Final clash between the Storm and Sharks at AAMI Park is scheduled to begin at 8:20pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs Cronulla Sharks
- Date: Friday 26 September 2025
- Kick-off: 8:20pm AEST
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Storm vs Sharks predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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