Storm vs Roosters Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 26, 2025
Last updated: Aug 29, 2025, 10:00AM | Published: Aug 24, 2025, 11:30PM
The Storm will sqaure off with the Roosters in NRL Round 26 action at AAMI Park on Friday, starting at 8:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Storm vs Roosters game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Melbourne vs Sydney NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Storm a 60% chance of winning against the Roosters at AAMI Park.
Storm vs Roosters: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are shown below:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.75, Roosters $2.15
- Line: Storm -1.5 ($1.91), Roosters +1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Storm at $1.75 and the Roosters at $2.15.
The Storm are listed as 1.5-point favourites against the Roosters, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Roosters (+1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Storm (-1.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 44.5-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Storm vs Roosters: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.75 with Bet365
- Line: Storm -1.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Storm vs Roosters betting tips are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Storm vs Roosters: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Roosters at AAMI Park this Friday is the Storm winning 24-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Storm vs Roosters match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Storm vs Roosters: Try Scorers
Searching for Storm vs Roosters try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Ryan Papenhuyzen is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs Sydney.
Papenhuyzen has a 8.7% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Storm star has a 49.1% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 8.7% probability
- Will Warbrick: 8.1% probability
- Kane Bradley: 7.4% probability
- Grant Anderson: 4.8% probability
- Marion Seve: 4.0% probability
Sydney Roosters
- Daniel Tupou: 8.6% probability
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 6.2% probability
- James Tedesco: 5.4% probability
- Billy Smith: 4.1% probability
- Robert Toia: 3.5% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 49.1% probability
- Will Warbrick: 43.9% probability
- Kane Bradley: 41.7% probability
- Grant Anderson: 29.7% probability
- Marion Seve: 24.7% probability
Sydney Roosters
- Daniel Tupou: 47.5% probability
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 38.2% probability
- James Tedesco: 35.5% probability
- Billy Smith: 26.9% probability
- Robert Toia: 23.3% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Storm vs Roosters match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Storm vs Roosters: Essential Details
The NRL Round 26 clash between the Storm and Roosters at AAMI Park is scheduled to start at 8:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs Sydney Roosters
- Date: Friday 29 August 2025
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEST
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Storm vs Roosters predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NRL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.
More on the NRL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, tips for every NRL game, and futures odds for the NRL.
