Storm vs Raiders Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 16, 2026
Last updated: Jun 21, 2026, 6:05AM | Published: Jun 15, 2026, 12:09AM
The Storm will take on the Raiders in NRL Round 16 action at AAMI Park on Sunday, beginning at 4:05pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Storm vs Raiders game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Melbourne vs Canberra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Storm a 72% chance of winning against the Raiders at AAMI Park.
Storm vs Raiders: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.35, Raiders $3.10
- Line: Storm -8.5 ($1.91), Raiders +8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Storm at $1.35 and the Raiders at $3.10.
The Storm are 8.5-point favourites against the Raiders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Raiders (+8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Storm (-8.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 50.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Storm vs Raiders: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.35 with Bet365
- Line: Storm -8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Storm vs Raiders predictions are based on complex simulations and wagering expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Storm vs Raiders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Raiders at AAMI Park this Sunday is the Storm winning 27-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Storm vs Raiders match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Storm vs Raiders: Try Scorers
Looking for Storm vs Raiders try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Will Warbrick is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs Canberra.
Warbrick has a 9.7% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Storm star has a 57.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Will Warbrick: 9.7% probability
- Moses Leo: 9.0% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 5.6% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 4.8% probability
- Joe Chan: 4.3% probability
Canberra Raiders
- Xavier Savage: 5.5% probability
- Savelio Tamale: 5.2% probability
- Kaeo Weekes: 4.8% probability
- Sebastian Kris: 4.2% probability
- Hudson Young: 4.1% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Will Warbrick: 57.6% probability
- Moses Leo: 53.8% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 36.9% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 35.9% probability
- Joe Chan: 32.3% probability
Canberra Raiders
- Xavier Savage: 38.0% probability
- Kaeo Weekes: 34.0% probability
- Savelio Tamale: 33.0% probability
- Hudson Young: 30.9% probability
- Sebastian Kris: 30.3% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Storm vs Raiders game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Storm vs Raiders: Essential Details
The NRL Round 16 clash between the Storm and Raiders at AAMI Park is scheduled to start at 4:05pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders
- Date: Sunday 21 June 2026
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Storm vs Raiders predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NRL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.
More on the NRL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, tips for every NRL game, and futures odds for the NRL.
