Storm vs Panthers Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 25, 2026
Last updated: Aug 20, 2026, 9:50AM | Published: Aug 16, 2026, 11:21PM
The Storm will sqaure off with the favoured Panthers in NRL Round 25 action at AAMI Park on Thursday, beginning at 7:50pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Storm vs Panthers game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Melbourne vs Penrith NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Panthers a 74% chance of beating the Storm in Round 25 of the 2026 NRL season.
Storm vs Panthers: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Storm $3.20, Panthers $1.33
- Line: Storm +8.5 ($1.91), Panthers -8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Storm at $3.20 and the Panthers at $1.33.
The Storm are listed as 8.5-point underdogs against the Panthers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Panthers (-8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Panthers (-8.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 42.5-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.
Storm vs Panthers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Panthers at $1.33 with Bet365
- Line: Panthers -8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Storm vs Panthers best bets are based on market-leading modelling and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Storm vs Panthers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Panthers at AAMI Park this Thursday is the Panthers winning 26-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Storm vs Panthers match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Storm vs Panthers: Try Scorers
Looking for Storm vs Panthers try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Panthers' Thomas Jenkins is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs Penrith.
Jenkins has a 12.1% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Panthers star has a 57.9% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Moses Leo: 7.2% probability
- Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown: 5.4% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 4.5% probability
- Harry Grant: 3.6% probability
- Oryn Keeley: 3.2% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Thomas Jenkins: 12.1% probability
- Brian To'o: 7.6% probability
- Casey McLean: 6.4% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 5.7% probability
- Nathan Cleary: 4.1% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Moses Leo: 40.0% probability
- Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown: 33.5% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 26.6% probability
- Harry Grant: 24.5% probability
- Tyran Wishart: 22.7% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Thomas Jenkins: 57.9% probability
- Brian To'o: 43.8% probability
- Casey McLean: 39.1% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 33.0% probability
- Nathan Cleary: 26.2% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Storm vs Panthers game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Storm vs Panthers: Essential Details
The NRL Round 25 clash between the Storm and Panthers at AAMI Park is scheduled to commence at 7:50pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs Penrith Panthers
- Date: Thursday 20 August 2026
- Kick-off: 7:50pm AEST
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Storm vs Panthers predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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