Storm vs Knights Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 14, 2026
Last updated: Jun 5, 2026, 7:58AM | Published: May 31, 2026, 10:30PM
The Storm will face the Knights in NRL Round 14 action at AAMI Park on Friday, with kick-off at 6:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Storm vs Knights game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Melbourne vs Newcastle NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Storm a 68% chance of defeating the Knights at AAMI Park.
Storm vs Knights: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.58, Knights $2.25
- Line: Storm -3.5 ($1.91), Knights +3.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Storm at $1.58 and the Knights at $2.25.
The Storm are listed as 3.5-point favourites against the Knights, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Knights (+3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Storm (-3.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 48.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Storm vs Knights: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.58 with Bet365
- Line: Storm -3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets for today across all sports.
Today's Storm vs Knights predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
Storm vs Knights: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Knights at AAMI Park on Friday is the Storm winning 27-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Storm vs Knights match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Storm vs Knights: Try Scorers
Searching for Storm vs Knights try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Will Warbrick is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs Newcastle.
Warbrick has a 8.9% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Storm star has a 50.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Will Warbrick: 8.9% probability
- Moses Leo: 7.3% probability
- Harry Grant: 4.9% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 4.7% probability
- Manaia Waitere: 4.6% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 8.8% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 7.7% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 4.6% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 4.1% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 4.1% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Will Warbrick: 50.6% probability
- Moses Leo: 47.3% probability
- Harry Grant: 33.8% probability
- Manaia Waitere: 31.9% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 31.6% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 50.1% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 47.4% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 32.4% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 29.2% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 27.6% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Storm vs Knights match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Storm vs Knights: Essential Details
The NRL Round 14 clash between the Storm and Knights at AAMI Park is scheduled to begin at 6:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs Newcastle Knights
- Date: Friday 5 June 2026
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEST
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Storm vs Knights predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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