Storm vs Eels Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 1, 2026
Last updated: Feb 26, 2026, 6:09PM | Published: Feb 26, 2026, 2:21PM
The Storm will face the Eels in NRL Round 1 action at AAMI Park on Thursday, March 5, starting at 8:00pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Storm vs Eels game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Melbourne vs Parramatta 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Storm a 68% chance of beating the Eels in Round 1 of the 2026 NRL season.
Storm vs Eels: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for this NRL clash at AAMI Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.48, Eels $2.65
- Line: Storm -6.5 ($1.91), Eels +6.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Storm at $1.48 and the Eels at $2.65.
The Storm are 6.5-point favourites against the Eels, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Eels (+6.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Storm (-6.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 44.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Storm vs Eels: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.48 with Bet365
- Line: Storm -6.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Storm vs Eels predictions are based on world-class simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Storm vs Eels: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Eels at AAMI Park is the Storm prevailing 25-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Storm vs Eels match on Thursday, March 5, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Storm vs Eels match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Storm vs Eels: Essential Details
The NRL Round 1 clash between the Storm and Eels at AAMI Park is scheduled to start at 8:00pm AEDT on Thursday, March 5.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs Parramatta Eels
- Date: Thursday 5 March 2026
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEDT
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Storm vs Eels predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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