Storm vs Cowboys Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 14, 2025
Last updated: Jun 6, 2025, 8:00AM | Published: Jun 3, 2025, 5:33AM
The Storm will sqaure off with the Cowboys in NRL Round 14 action at AAMI Park on Friday, with kick-off at 6:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Storm vs Cowboys game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Melbourne vs North Queensland NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Storm an 83% chance of beating the Cowboys at AAMI Park.
Storm vs Cowboys: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are shown below:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.20, Cowboys $4.80
- Line: Storm -14.5 ($1.91), Cowboys +14.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Storm at $1.20 and the Cowboys at $4.80.
The Storm are 14.5-point favourites against the Cowboys, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Cowboys (+14.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Storm (-14.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 50.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Storm vs Cowboys: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.20 with Bet365
- Line: Storm -14.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Storm vs Cowboys betting tips are based on complex modelling and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Storm vs Cowboys: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Cowboys at AAMI Park this Friday is the Storm winning 31-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Storm vs Cowboys match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Storm vs Cowboys: Try Scorers
Looking for Storm vs Cowboys try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Ryan Papenhuyzen is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs North Queensland.
Papenhuyzen has a 10.1% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Storm star has a 56.2% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 10.1% probability
- Xavier Coates: 9.7% probability
- Grant Anderson: 8.5% probability
- Harry Grant: 5.4% probability
- Eliesa Katoa: 4.9% probability
North Queensland Cowboys
- Robert Derby: 4.8% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 4.8% probability
- Jaxson Paulo: 3.9% probability
- Zac Laybutt: 3.8% probability
- Tom Dearden: 3.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 56.2% probability
- Xavier Coates: 55.3% probability
- Grant Anderson: 51.4% probability
- Harry Grant: 37.3% probability
- Eliesa Katoa: 32.1% probability
North Queensland Cowboys
- Robert Derby: 34.2% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 33.0% probability
- Jaxson Paulo: 28.9% probability
- Zac Laybutt: 27.8% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 23.9% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Storm vs Cowboys match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Storm vs Cowboys: Essential Details
The NRL Round 14 clash between the Storm and Cowboys at AAMI Park is scheduled to commence at 6:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs North Queensland Cowboys
- Date: Friday 6 June 2025
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEST
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Storm vs Cowboys predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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