Storm vs Bulldogs Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 22, 2026
Last updated: Jul 31, 2026, 10:00AM | Published: Jul 27, 2026, 12:45AM
The Storm will take on the favoured Bulldogs in NRL Round 22 action at AAMI Park on Friday, commencing at 8:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Storm vs Bulldogs game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Melbourne vs Canterbury NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Bulldogs a 71% chance of beating the Storm in Round 22 of the 2026 NRL season.
Storm vs Bulldogs: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Storm $3.60, Bulldogs $1.30
- Line: Storm +10.5 ($1.91), Bulldogs -10.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Storm at $3.60 and the Bulldogs at $1.30.
The Storm are 10.5-point underdogs against the Bulldogs, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Bulldogs (-10.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Storm (+10.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 42.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Storm vs Bulldogs: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Storm at $3.60 with Bet365
- Line: Storm +10.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Storm vs Bulldogs predictions are based on market-leading simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Bulldogs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Storm to win is our preferred option because of the 1.1% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Storm vs Bulldogs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Bulldogs at AAMI Park this Friday is the Bulldogs winning 25-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Storm vs Bulldogs match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Storm vs Bulldogs: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Storm vs Bulldogs try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Bulldogs' Jethro Rinakama is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs Canterbury.
Rinakama has a 8.2% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Bulldogs star has a 44.3% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Moses Leo: 6.8% probability
- Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown: 5.8% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 5.6% probability
- Manaia Waitere: 4.5% probability
- Tyran Wishart: 3.6% probability
Canterbury Bulldogs
- Jethro Rinakama: 8.2% probability
- Jacob Kiraz: 7.3% probability
- Matt Burton: 5.9% probability
- Jacob Preston: 5.8% probability
- Enari Tuala: 4.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Moses Leo: 38.6% probability
- Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown: 33.5% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 33.2% probability
- Manaia Waitere: 28.3% probability
- Tyran Wishart: 23.9% probability
Canterbury Bulldogs
- Jethro Rinakama: 44.3% probability
- Jacob Kiraz: 43.1% probability
- Matt Burton: 34.9% probability
- Jacob Preston: 34.0% probability
- Enari Tuala: 28.4% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Storm vs Bulldogs match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Storm vs Bulldogs: Essential Details
The NRL Round 22 clash between the Storm and Bulldogs at AAMI Park is scheduled to start at 8:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs Canterbury Bulldogs
- Date: Friday 31 July 2026
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEST
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Storm vs Bulldogs predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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