Storm vs Bulldogs Prediction and Tips - NRL Finals Week 1 2025
Last updated: Sep 9, 2025, 7:15AM | Published: Sep 9, 2025, 5:57AM
The Storm will take on the Bulldogs in NRL Finals Week 1 action at AAMI Park on Friday, beginning at 7:50pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Storm vs Bulldogs game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Melbourne vs Canterbury NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Storm a 62% chance of beating the Bulldogs in the first week of NRL finals.
Storm vs Bulldogs: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.45, Bulldogs $2.75
- Line: Storm -5.5 ($1.91), Bulldogs +5.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 38.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Storm at $1.45 and the Bulldogs at $2.75.
The Storm are listed as 5.5-point favourites against the Bulldogs, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Bulldogs (+5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 38.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bulldogs (+5.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 38.5-point over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.
Storm vs Bulldogs: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Bulldogs at $2.75 with Bet365
- Line: Bulldogs +5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 38.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Storm vs Bulldogs betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Storm have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bulldogs to win is our preferred option because of the 1.6% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Storm vs Bulldogs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Bulldogs at AAMI Park this Friday is the Storm winning 22-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Storm vs Bulldogs match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Storm vs Bulldogs: Try Scorers
Looking for Storm vs Bulldogs try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Xavier Coates is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs Canterbury.
Coates has a 8.9% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Storm star has a 45.8% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 8.9% probability
- Will Warbrick: 7.0% probability
- Eliesa Katoa: 5.6% probability
- Nick Meaney: 5.4% probability
- Harry Grant: 4.8% probability
Canterbury Bulldogs
- Blake Wilson: 5.7% probability
- Jethro Rinakama: 5.6% probability
- Stephen Crichton: 4.4% probability
- Jacob Preston: 4.2% probability
- Enari Tuala: 3.7% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 45.8% probability
- Will Warbrick: 37.0% probability
- Eliesa Katoa: 30.3% probability
- Nick Meaney: 29.8% probability
- Harry Grant: 26.3% probability
Canterbury Bulldogs
- Jethro Rinakama: 32.0% probability
- Blake Wilson: 31.5% probability
- Jacob Preston: 25.1% probability
- Stephen Crichton: 24.5% probability
- Enari Tuala: 23.2% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Storm vs Bulldogs game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Storm vs Bulldogs: Essential Details
The NRL Finals clash between the Storm and Bulldogs at AAMI Park is scheduled to begin at 7:50pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs Canterbury Bulldogs
- Date: Friday 12 September 2025
- Kick-off: 7:50pm AEST
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Storm vs Bulldogs predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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