Storm vs Bulldogs Prediction and Tips - NRL Finals Week 1 2025
Last updated: Sep 11, 2025, 9:57AM | Published: Sep 9, 2025, 7:20AM
The Storm will take on the Bulldogs in NRL Finals Week 1 action at AAMI Park on Friday, beginning at 7:50pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Storm vs Bulldogs game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Melbourne vs Canterbury NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Storm a 62% chance of defeating the Bulldogs at AAMI Park.
Storm vs Bulldogs: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.45, Bulldogs $2.75
- Line: Storm -5.5 ($1.91), Bulldogs +5.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 37.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Storm at $1.45 and the Bulldogs at $2.75.
The Storm are listed as 5.5-point favourites against the Bulldogs, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Bulldogs (+5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 37.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Bulldogs (+5.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 37.5-point over/under is expected to go over 57% of the time.
Storm vs Bulldogs: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Bulldogs at $2.75 with Bet365
- Line: Bulldogs +5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 37.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across all sports.
Today's Storm vs Bulldogs betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and betting experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Storm have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bulldogs to win is our recommended option due to the 1.6% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Storm vs Bulldogs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Bulldogs at AAMI Park on Friday is the Storm winning 22-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Storm vs Bulldogs match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Storm vs Bulldogs: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Storm vs Bulldogs try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Xavier Coates is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs Canterbury.
Coates has a 8.9% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Storm star has a 45.8% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 8.9% probability
- Will Warbrick: 7.0% probability
- Eliesa Katoa: 5.6% probability
- Nick Meaney: 5.4% probability
- Harry Grant: 4.8% probability
Canterbury Bulldogs
- Blake Wilson: 5.7% probability
- Jethro Rinakama: 5.6% probability
- Stephen Crichton: 4.4% probability
- Jacob Preston: 4.2% probability
- Enari Tuala: 3.7% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 45.8% probability
- Will Warbrick: 37.0% probability
- Eliesa Katoa: 30.3% probability
- Nick Meaney: 29.8% probability
- Harry Grant: 26.3% probability
Canterbury Bulldogs
- Jethro Rinakama: 32.0% probability
- Blake Wilson: 31.5% probability
- Jacob Preston: 25.1% probability
- Stephen Crichton: 24.5% probability
- Enari Tuala: 23.2% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Storm vs Bulldogs match.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Storm vs Bulldogs: Essential Details
The NRL Finals clash between the Storm and Bulldogs at AAMI Park is scheduled to start at 7:50pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs Canterbury Bulldogs
- Date: Friday 12 September 2025
- Kick-off: 7:50pm AEST
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Storm vs Bulldogs predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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