Storm vs Broncos Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 3, 2026
Last updated: Mar 20, 2026, 8:59AM | Published: Mar 15, 2026, 10:05PM
The Storm will take on the Broncos in NRL Round 3 action at AAMI Park on Friday, commencing at 8:00pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Storm vs Broncos game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Melbourne vs Brisbane NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Storm a 77% chance of beating the Broncos at AAMI Park.
Storm vs Broncos: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.36, Broncos $3.20
- Line: Storm -9.5 ($1.91), Broncos +9.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 53.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Storm at $1.36 and the Broncos at $3.20.
The Storm are listed as 9.5-point favourites against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Broncos (+9.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 53.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Storm (-9.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 53.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Storm vs Broncos: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.36 with Bet365
- Line: Storm -9.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 53.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Storm vs Broncos best bets are based on detailed modelling and wagering experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Storm vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Broncos at AAMI Park this Friday is the Storm winning 30-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Storm vs Broncos match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live updatestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Storm vs Broncos: Try Scorers
Looking for Storm vs Broncos try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Will Warbrick is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs Brisbane.
Warbrick has a 8.2% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Storm star has a 55.8% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Will Warbrick: 8.2% probability
- Nick Meaney: 7.7% probability
- Harry Grant: 5.7% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 5.3% probability
- Moses Leo: 5.0% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Reece Walsh: 6.3% probability
- Grant Anderson: 4.8% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 4.8% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 4.7% probability
- Ezra Mam: 4.5% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Will Warbrick: 55.8% probability
- Nick Meaney: 52.7% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 41.0% probability
- Harry Grant: 40.1% probability
- Moses Leo: 36.5% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Reece Walsh: 42.2% probability
- Grant Anderson: 38.5% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 38.3% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 36.2% probability
- Ezra Mam: 33.8% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Storm vs Broncos match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Storm vs Broncos: Essential Details
The NRL Round 3 clash between the Storm and Broncos at AAMI Park is scheduled to start at 8:00pm AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos
- Date: Friday 20 March 2026
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEDT
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Storm vs Broncos predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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