Storm vs Broncos Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 23, 2025
Last updated: Aug 7, 2025, 9:50AM | Published: Aug 3, 2025, 11:15PM
The Storm will face the Broncos in NRL Round 23 action at AAMI Park on Thursday, commencing at 7:50pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Storm vs Broncos game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Melbourne vs Brisbane NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Storm a 66% chance of winning against the Broncos at AAMI Park.
Storm vs Broncos: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.60, Broncos $2.40
- Line: Storm -5.5 ($1.91), Broncos +5.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Storm at $1.60 and the Broncos at $2.40.
The Storm are listed as 5.5-point favourites against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Broncos (+5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Storm (-5.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 46.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Storm vs Broncos: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.60 with Bet365
- Line: Storm -5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 46.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Storm vs Broncos betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Storm vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Broncos at AAMI Park this Thursday is the Storm winning 25-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Storm vs Broncos match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Storm vs Broncos: Try Scorers
Looking for Storm vs Broncos try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Xavier Coates is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs Brisbane.
Coates has a 9.0% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Storm star has a 49.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 9.0% probability
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 8.1% probability
- Grant Anderson: 7.1% probability
- Eliesa Katoa: 5.4% probability
- Harry Grant: 4.5% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 6.5% probability
- Selwyn Cobbo: 6.3% probability
- Reece Walsh: 4.9% probability
- Ezra Mam: 4.5% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 4.3% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 49.6% probability
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 47.9% probability
- Grant Anderson: 42.9% probability
- Eliesa Katoa: 34.0% probability
- Harry Grant: 30.6% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 41.0% probability
- Selwyn Cobbo: 37.7% probability
- Reece Walsh: 32.9% probability
- Ezra Mam: 31.5% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 27.8% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Storm vs Broncos match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Storm vs Broncos: Essential Details
The NRL Round 23 clash between the Storm and Broncos at AAMI Park is scheduled to begin at 7:50pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos
- Date: Thursday 7 August 2025
- Kick-off: 7:50pm AEST
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Storm vs Broncos predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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