Steelers vs Vikings Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2025
Last updated: Sep 28, 2025, 1:32PM | Published: Sep 21, 2025, 4:01AM
The Pittsburgh Steelers will face the Minnesota Vikings in NFL Week 4 action at Croke Park on Sunday, beginning at 11:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Steelers vs Vikings game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Pittsburgh vs Minnesota NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Vikings a 59% chance of beating the Steelers in Week 4 of the NFL season.
Steelers vs Vikings: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NFL game at Croke Park are shown below:
- Head to Head: Steelers $2.25, Vikings $1.67
- Line: Steelers +2.5 ($1.91), Vikings -2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 41 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Steelers at $2.25 and the Vikings at $1.67.
The Steelers are listed as 2.5-point underdogs against the Vikings, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Vikings (-2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 41 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Steelers and the Vikings have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 41-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Steelers vs Vikings: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Minnesota at $1.67 with Bet365
- Line: Vikings -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 41 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Steelers vs Vikings best bets are based on market-leading simulations and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Steelers vs Vikings: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Steelers vs Vikings at Croke Park in Week 4 is the Vikings prevailing 21-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Pittsburgh vs Minnesota game in Week 4, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Steelers vs Vikings prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Steelers vs Vikings: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Steelers vs Vikings? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Minnesota's Jordan Mason is the most likely player to score the first TD in Steelers vs Vikings.
Mason has a 14.3% chance of getting in for six first at Croke Park, while the Vikings RB has a 51.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Steelers First TD Tips
- Jaylen Warren: 8.5% probability
- DK Metcalf: 8.0% probability
- Kenneth Gainwell: 6.6% probability
- Calvin Austin: 5.7% probability
- Jonnu Smith: 4.4% probability
Vikings First TD Tips
- Jordan Mason: 14.3% probability
- Justin Jefferson: 8.5% probability
- Jordan Addison: 6.0% probability
- T.J. Hockenson: 4.8% probability
- Zavier Scott: 3.3% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Steelers Anytime TD Tips
- Jaylen Warren: 36.4% probability
- DK Metcalf: 34.6% probability
- Kenneth Gainwell: 29.7% probability
- Calvin Austin: 26.2% probability
- Jonnu Smith: 20.9% probability
Vikings Anytime TD Tips
- Jordan Mason: 51.1% probability
- Justin Jefferson: 34.7% probability
- Jordan Addison: 25.9% probability
- T.J. Hockenson: 21.4% probability
- Zavier Scott: 15.0% probability
Steelers-Vikings Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is projected for 209 passing yards. The Vikings' Carson Wentz is expected to throw for 214 yards.
Steelers Starting QB
- Aaron Rodgers: 209 projected passing yards
Vikings Starting QB
- Carson Wentz: 214 projected passing yards
Steelers Rushing Yards
- Jaylen Warren: 60 projected yards
- Kenneth Gainwell: 29 projected yards
- Aaron Rodgers: 5 projected yards
Vikings Rushing Yards
- Jordan Mason: 85 projected yards
- Zavier Scott: 20 projected yards
- Carson Wentz: 11 projected yards
Steelers Receiving Yards
- DK Metcalf: 55 projected yards
- Calvin Austin: 42 projected yards
- Jonnu Smith: 32 projected yards
- Pat Freiermuth: 28 projected yards
- Jaylen Warren: 26 projected yards
Vikings Receiving Yards
- Justin Jefferson: 77 projected yards
- Jordan Addison: 45 projected yards
- T.J. Hockenson: 42 projected yards
- Jalen Nailor: 22 projected yards
- Jordan Mason: 15 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Pittsburgh vs Minnesota game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Steelers vs Vikings: Week 4 Essential Details
The NFL Week 4 match-up between the Steelers and Vikings at Croke Park is scheduled to commence at 11:30pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Minnesota Vikings
- Date: Sunday 28 September 2025
- Time: 11:30pm AEST
- Venue: Croke Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Pittsburgh vs Minnesota predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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