Steelers vs Texans Prediction and Preview - NFL Wild Card Round 2026

The Pittsburgh Steelers will face the Houston Texans on Wild Card Weekend of the NFL Playoffs at Acrisure Stadium on Tuesday, starting at 12:15pm AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Steelers vs Texans game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Tuesday's Pittsburgh vs Houston NFL game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Texans a 63% chance of defeating the Steelers at Acrisure Stadium.

Steelers vs Texans: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NFL game at Acrisure Stadium are shown here:

• Head to Head: Steelers $2.35, Texans $1.62
• Line: Steelers +3 ($1.91), Texans -3 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 39.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Steelers at $2.35 and the Texans at $1.62.

The Steelers are 3-point underdogs against the Texans, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Texans (-3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 39.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Steelers and the Texans have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 39.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Steelers vs Texans: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Houston at $1.62 with Bet365
• Line: Texans -3 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Under 39.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Stats Insider's Steelers vs Texans predictions are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

Steelers vs Texans: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Steelers vs Texans at Acrisure Stadium this Tuesday is the Texans winning 21-18.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Pittsburgh vs Houston game on Tuesday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Steelers vs Texans: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Steelers vs Texans? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Houston's Nico Collins is the most likely player to score the first TD in Steelers vs Texans.

Collins has a 9.6% chance of getting in for six first at Acrisure Stadium, while the Texans WR has a 36.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Steelers First TD Tips

• Kenneth Gainwell: 8.6% probability
• Jaylen Warren: 8.6% probability
• DK Metcalf: 7.4% probability
• Pat Freiermuth: 4.4% probability
• Calvin Austin: 2.9% probability

Texans First TD Tips

• Nico Collins: 9.6% probability
• Woody Marks: 8.7% probability
• Dalton Schultz: 6.0% probability
• Jayden Higgins: 5.0% probability
• Jawhar Jordan: 2.7% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Steelers Anytime TD Tips

• Kenneth Gainwell: 35.3% probability
• Jaylen Warren: 35.2% probability
• DK Metcalf: 31.1% probability
• Pat Freiermuth: 20.1% probability
• Calvin Austin: 13.7% probability

Texans Anytime TD Tips

• Nico Collins: 36.5% probability
• Woody Marks: 33.6% probability
• Dalton Schultz: 24.6% probability
• Jayden Higgins: 21.1% probability
• Jawhar Jordan: 11.8% probability

Steelers-Texans Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is projected for 210 passing yards, while the Texans' C.J. Stroud is expected to throw for 236 yards.

Steelers Starting QB

• Aaron Rodgers: 210 projected passing yards

Texans Starting QB

• C.J. Stroud: 236 projected passing yards

Steelers Rushing Yards

• Jaylen Warren: 57 projected yards
• Kenneth Gainwell: 33 projected yards
• Aaron Rodgers: 5 projected yards

Texans Rushing Yards

• Woody Marks: 57 projected yards
• C.J. Stroud: 14 projected yards
• Nick Chubb: 11 projected yards

Steelers Receiving Yards

• DK Metcalf: 58 projected yards
• Pat Freiermuth: 35 projected yards
• Kenneth Gainwell: 34 projected yards
• Calvin Austin: 21 projected yards
• Adam Thielen: 20 projected yards

Texans Receiving Yards

• Nico Collins: 73 projected yards
• Dalton Schultz: 45 projected yards
• Jayden Higgins: 36 projected yards
• Christian Kirk: 23 projected yards
• Xavier Hutchinson: 21 projected yards

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Pittsburgh vs Houston match-up.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Steelers vs Texans: Essential Details

The match-up between the Steelers and Texans at Acrisure Stadium is scheduled to start at 12:15pm AEDT on Tuesday.

• Teams: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans
• Playoff Round: NFL Wild Card Weekend
• Date: Tuesday 13 January 2026
• Time: 12:15pm AEDT
• Venue: Acrisure Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Pittsburgh vs Houston predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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