Steelers vs Texans Prediction and Preview - NFL Wild Card Round 2026

The Pittsburgh Steelers will face the Houston Texans in the Wild Card Round of the NFL Playoffs at Acrisure Stadium on Tuesday, beginning at 12:15pm AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Steelers vs Texans game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Pittsburgh vs Houston NFL game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Texans a 63% chance of beating the Steelers at Acrisure Stadium.

Steelers vs Texans: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NFL game at Acrisure Stadium are listed below:

• Head to Head: Steelers $2.30, Texans $1.64
• Line: Steelers +3 ($1.91), Texans -3 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 38 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Steelers at $2.30 and the Texans at $1.64.

The Steelers are 3-point underdogs against the Texans, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Texans (-3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 38 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Steelers and the Texans have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 38-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.

Steelers vs Texans: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Houston at $1.64 with Bet365
• Line: Texans -3 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Over 38 at $1.91 with Bet365

These Steelers vs Texans predictions are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

Steelers vs Texans: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Steelers vs Texans at Acrisure Stadium on Tuesday is the Texans winning 20-17.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Pittsburgh vs Houston game on Tuesday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Steelers vs Texans: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Steelers vs Texans? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Houston's Nico Collins is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Steelers vs Texans.

Collins has a 10.1% chance of scoring the first TD at Acrisure Stadium, while the Texans WR has a 36.6% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Steelers First TD Tips

• Jaylen Warren: 9.0% probability
• Kenneth Gainwell: 8.5% probability
• DK Metcalf: 7.8% probability
• Pat Freiermuth: 4.7% probability
• Jonnu Smith: 3.0% probability

Texans First TD Tips

• Nico Collins: 10.1% probability
• Woody Marks: 9.0% probability
• Dalton Schultz: 6.0% probability
• Jayden Higgins: 5.2% probability
• Christian Kirk: 3.0% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Steelers Anytime TD Tips

• Jaylen Warren: 35.3% probability
• Kenneth Gainwell: 33.8% probability
• DK Metcalf: 31.3% probability
• Pat Freiermuth: 20.2% probability
• Jonnu Smith: 13.5% probability

Texans Anytime TD Tips

• Nico Collins: 36.6% probability
• Woody Marks: 33.3% probability
• Dalton Schultz: 23.7% probability
• Jayden Higgins: 20.8% probability
• Christian Kirk: 12.7% probability

Steelers-Texans Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is projected for 211 passing yards, while the Texans' C.J. Stroud is expected to throw for 231 yards.

Steelers Starting QB

• Aaron Rodgers: 211 projected passing yards

Texans Starting QB

• C.J. Stroud: 231 projected passing yards

Steelers Rushing Yards

• Jaylen Warren: 55 projected yards
• Kenneth Gainwell: 30 projected yards
• Jonnu Smith: 5 projected yards

Texans Rushing Yards

• Woody Marks: 60 projected yards
• Nick Chubb: 16 projected yards
• C.J. Stroud: 14 projected yards

Steelers Receiving Yards

• DK Metcalf: 57 projected yards
• Kenneth Gainwell: 33 projected yards
• Pat Freiermuth: 33 projected yards
• Adam Thielen: 19 projected yards
• Calvin Austin: 19 projected yards

Texans Receiving Yards

• Nico Collins: 74 projected yards
• Dalton Schultz: 45 projected yards
• Jayden Higgins: 35 projected yards
• Christian Kirk: 25 projected yards
• Xavier Hutchinson: 20 projected yards

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Pittsburgh vs Houston match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Steelers vs Texans: Essential Details

The match-up between the Steelers and Texans at Acrisure Stadium is scheduled to begin at 12:15pm AEDT on Tuesday.

• Teams: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans
• Playoff Round: NFL Wild Card Weekend
• Date: Tuesday 13 January 2026
• Time: 12:15pm AEDT
• Venue: Acrisure Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Pittsburgh vs Houston predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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