Steelers vs Falcons Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 1, 2026
Last updated: Sep 13, 2026, 5:02PM | Published: Aug 30, 2026, 5:01PM
The Pittsburgh Steelers will sqaure off with the Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 1 action at Acrisure Stadium on Monday, commencing at 3:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Steelers vs Falcons game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Pittsburgh vs Atlanta NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Steelers a 71% chance of beating the Falcons at Acrisure Stadium.
Steelers vs Falcons: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Acrisure Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Steelers $1.32, Falcons $3.50
- Line: Steelers -6.5 ($1.91), Falcons +6.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 40.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Steelers at $1.32 and the Falcons at $3.50.
The Steelers are listed as 6.5-point favourites against the Falcons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Falcons (+6.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 40.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Falcons (+6.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 40.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Steelers vs Falcons: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Atlanta at $3.50 with Bet365
- Line: Falcons +6.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 40.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Steelers vs Falcons predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Steelers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Falcons to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Steelers vs Falcons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Steelers vs Falcons at Acrisure Stadium in Week 1 is the Steelers prevailing 23-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Pittsburgh vs Atlanta game in Week 1, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Steelers vs Falcons: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Steelers vs Falcons? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Steelers vs Falcons.
Robinson has a 14.6% chance of scoring the first TD at Acrisure Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 48.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Steelers First TD Tips
- Rico Dowdle: 9.5% probability
- Jaylen Warren: 9.4% probability
- DK Metcalf: 8.5% probability
- Michael Pittman: 6.8% probability
- Pat Freiermuth: 4.8% probability
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 14.6% probability
- Drake London: 7.1% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 4.6% probability
- Brian Robinson: 3.8% probability
- Jahan Dotson: 2.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Steelers Anytime TD Tips
- Rico Dowdle: 36.0% probability
- Jaylen Warren: 35.8% probability
- DK Metcalf: 32.8% probability
- Michael Pittman: 27.3% probability
- Pat Freiermuth: 20.0% probability
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 48.2% probability
- Drake London: 27.5% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 18.6% probability
- Brian Robinson: 15.9% probability
- Jahan Dotson: 11.5% probability
Steelers-Falcons Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is projected for 217 passing yards. The Falcons' Cooper Rush is expected to throw for 186 yards.
Steelers Starting QB
- Aaron Rodgers: 217 projected passing yards
Falcons Starting QB
- Cooper Rush: 186 projected passing yards
Steelers Rushing Yards
- Rico Dowdle: 50 projected yards
- Jaylen Warren: 49 projected yards
- Aaron Rodgers: 4 projected yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 80 projected yards
- Brian Robinson: 24 projected yards
- Cooper Rush: 5 projected yards
Steelers Receiving Yards
- DK Metcalf: 53 projected yards
- Michael Pittman: 44 projected yards
- Pat Freiermuth: 31 projected yards
- Darnell Washington: 21 projected yards
- Germie Bernard: 21 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 59 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 42 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 34 projected yards
- Jahan Dotson: 21 projected yards
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 19 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Pittsburgh vs Atlanta game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Steelers vs Falcons: Week 1 Essential Details
The NFL Week 1 match-up between the Steelers and Falcons at Acrisure Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:00am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Monday 14 September 2026
- Time: 3:00am AEST
- Venue: Acrisure Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Pittsburgh vs Atlanta predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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