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Steelers vs Bengals Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 11, 2025

The Pittsburgh Steelers will face the Cincinnati Bengals in NFL Week 11 action at Acrisure Stadium on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Steelers vs Bengals game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati NFL game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Steelers a 67% chance of beating the Bengals in Week 11 of the NFL season.

Steelers vs Bengals: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Acrisure Stadium are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Steelers $1.40, Bengals $3.05
  • Line: Steelers -5.5 ($1.91), Bengals +5.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 48 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Steelers at $1.40 and the Bengals at $3.05.

The Steelers are listed as 5.5-point favourites against the Bengals, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Bengals (+5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 48 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Bengals (+5.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 48-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.

Steelers vs Bengals: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Cincinnati at $3.05 with Bet365
  • Line: Bengals +5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Over 48 at $1.91 with Bet365

Our Steelers vs Bengals best bets are based on detailed simulations and gambling experience to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.

While the Steelers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bengals to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Steelers vs Bengals: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Steelers vs Bengals at Acrisure Stadium in Week 11 is the Steelers winning 26-21.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati game in Week 11, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.

For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Steelers vs Bengals prediction.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Steelers vs Bengals: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Steelers vs Bengals? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Pittsburgh's Jaylen Warren is the most likely player to score the first TD in Steelers vs Bengals.

Warren has a 12.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Acrisure Stadium, while the Steelers RB has a 50.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Steelers First TD Tips

  • Jaylen Warren: 12.4% probability
  • DK Metcalf: 8.9% probability
  • Jonnu Smith: 5.5% probability
  • Kenneth Gainwell: 5.4% probability
  • Calvin Austin: 5.2% probability

Bengals First TD Tips

  • Ja'Marr Chase: 9.9% probability
  • Chase Brown: 9.1% probability
  • Tee Higgins: 8.1% probability
  • Noah Fant: 3.5% probability
  • Andrei Iosivas: 2.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Steelers Anytime TD Tips

  • Jaylen Warren: 50.4% probability
  • DK Metcalf: 39.6% probability
  • Jonnu Smith: 26.5% probability
  • Kenneth Gainwell: 26.4% probability
  • Calvin Austin: 25.3% probability

Bengals Anytime TD Tips

  • Ja'Marr Chase: 45.2% probability
  • Chase Brown: 42.5% probability
  • Tee Higgins: 39.1% probability
  • Noah Fant: 19.2% probability
  • Andrei Iosivas: 15.5% probability

Steelers-Bengals Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is projected for 235 passing yards, while the Bengals' Joe Flacco is expected to throw for 261 yards.

Steelers Starting QB

  • Aaron Rodgers: 235 projected passing yards

Bengals Starting QB

  • Joe Flacco: 261 projected passing yards

Steelers Rushing Yards

  • Jaylen Warren: 85 projected yards
  • Kenneth Gainwell: 26 projected yards
  • Kaleb Johnson: 6 projected yards

Bengals Rushing Yards

  • Chase Brown: 67 projected yards
  • Tahj Brooks: 12 projected yards
  • Ja'Marr Chase: 5 projected yards

Steelers Receiving Yards

  • DK Metcalf: 57 projected yards
  • Calvin Austin: 39 projected yards
  • Pat Freiermuth: 30 projected yards
  • Jonnu Smith: 28 projected yards
  • Darnell Washington: 21 projected yards

Bengals Receiving Yards

  • Ja'Marr Chase: 95 projected yards
  • Tee Higgins: 61 projected yards
  • Andrei Iosivas: 30 projected yards
  • Noah Fant: 27 projected yards
  • Chase Brown: 26 projected yards

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Steelers vs Bengals: Week 11 Essential Details

The NFL Week 11 game between the Steelers and Bengals at Acrisure Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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