Stats to Consider When Predicting Premier League Outcomes

Billions of people around the world watch the Premier League, which is famed for its drama on the pitch. From the top of the table to the bottom, every team is capable of beating the other, while the English top flight is home to legendary names from Manchester United and City to Liverpool and Arsenal. As well as viewing games, many fans enjoy predicting the outcome of matches and reading up on statistics is often key to making smart and informed decisions.

The internet is a vast resource of Premier League facts and figures and the numbers behind team and player performances can provide solid insight which can be used when wagering. This article will run through the different markets and stats to explore at the end of the season and during the next 2026/27 campaign.

Betting Strategies to Follow 

Before looking at statistics and placing bets on Premier League games, a solid understanding of the requirements and the main strategies to follow is essential. To start, check out Casumo.com to understand the platform, so you can play confidently when making your first prediction. Be sure to look at payment methods, bonus offers and withdrawal options, as all of these features will influence your overall gaming experience.

In terms of football, follow team news so you know which player stats you need to study. This will help you focus and save you time by showing you the names that will feature on matchday. Also follow the form guide and look at the most recent results, as the data will give a strong indication as to whether a team is playing well and scoring goals or struggling and losing most weeks.

Key Stats to Assess

Now comes the time to look at the statistics. Here is a rundown of the betting markets where stats can play a key role in your decision-making and aid how you find value, whether that's through spotting patterns or simply identifying the player or teams that lead the way in a particular field. 

Most Premier League fans will look to wager on results, goalscorers and league standings. However, there is a wide range of different outcomes to predict, with some events presenting opportunities.

Shots on Target

Each gameday, it's possible for bettors to wager on the number of shots on target a player will record. To get a handle on which players should be considered, you might think it's a simple case of looking at which names are hitting the most shots but that stat only tells half the story. Of course, a player may be at the top of the shot charts in the Premier League but a large percentage of those efforts could have flown wide of the post or over the bar. 

With this wager, you are looking for the players who most test the goalkeeper and so it's wise to assess each striker's shooting success percentage. Erling Haaland is considered the best striker in England and by May, the Norway international had hit the most shots and scored the most goals. However, at one stage, it was Everton's Iliman Ndiaye who was the strong pick for recording shots on target, as the Senegal star had actually scored with exactly half of his shots. This performance proves that it's not always the leading figure who is the best pick.

Most Cards

Another popular Premier League betting market predicts how many cards will be shown in a game or which players will be booked. However, once again, making judgement calls on cards goes far beyond simply checking which names have the most. Of course, the total could be a good indicator but smart and savvy bettors will do more digging before making their prediction. When assessing who could receive a yellow or red card, the key stats to look at are the fouls tally. The players who commit the most fouls or tackles are most susceptible to going in the referee's notebook. As for fixtures, derby matches and games where teams are fighting for the title or survival also present instances of players getting booked in the heat of battle. 

Corners in Games

There are so many markets to wager on in 2026 and it's also possible to predict the number of corners one side will record or how many will be taken across a match by both clubs. There are now plenty of football resources that record this data. Be sure to check out the averages, as these figures will give a clear indication as to how many of these set pieces occur for each team. Here, you can bet below or above a certain number, which gives you some flexibility. By assessing the stats, you can get a rough estimate to work with.

Wrapping Up

Overall, stats can transform the way you wager on the Premier League, as the numbers behind team and player performances can offer strong insights into what is likely to occur in an upcoming fixture. By paying attention to these numbers, you can broaden your perspective and assess alternate outcomes before betting.