St Kilda vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 10, 2026
Last updated: May 17, 2026, 5:15AM | Published: May 10, 2026, 11:16AM
St Kilda will sqaure off with Richmond in AFL Round 10 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, starting at 3:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the St Kilda vs Richmond game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's St Kilda vs Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Saints an 87% chance of beating the Tigers in Round 10 of the 2026 AFL season.
St Kilda vs Richmond: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $1.10, Richmond $7.00
- Line: St Kilda -41.5 ($1.91), Richmond +41.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 178.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has St Kilda at $1.10 and Richmond at $7.00.
The Saints are listed as 41.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Tigers (+41.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 178.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Tigers (+41.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 178.5-point over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
St Kilda vs Richmond: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Richmond at $7.00 with Bet365
- Line: Richmond +41.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 178.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips of the day across any sport.
Stats Insider's St Kilda vs Richmond betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Saints have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
St Kilda vs Richmond: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs Richmond at Marvel Stadium on Sunday is St Kilda winning 107-72.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the St Kilda vs Richmond match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the St Kilda vs Richmond game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
St Kilda vs Richmond: Essential Details
The AFL Round 10 clash between the Saints and Tigers at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:15pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our St Kilda vs Richmond predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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