St Kilda vs Port Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2026
Last updated: Jul 11, 2026, 3:05AM | Published: Jul 5, 2026, 10:32AM
St Kilda will take on Port Adelaide in AFL Round 18 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 1:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the St Kilda vs Port Adelaide game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's St Kilda vs Port Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Saints a 59% chance of winning against the Power at Marvel Stadium.
St Kilda vs Port Adelaide: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $1.58, Port Adelaide $2.40
- Line: St Kilda -9.5 ($1.91), Port Adelaide +9.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 169.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has St Kilda at $1.58 and Port Adelaide at $2.40.
The Saints are 9.5-point favourites against the Power, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Power (+9.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 169.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Power (+9.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 169.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
St Kilda vs Port Adelaide: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Port Adelaide at $2.40 with Bet365
- Line: P Adelaide +9.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 169.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our St Kilda vs Port Adelaide best bets are based on market-leading simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Saints have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Power to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
St Kilda vs Port Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs Port Adelaide at Marvel Stadium on Saturday is St Kilda winning 87-80.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the St Kilda vs Port Adelaide match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live updatestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.St Kilda vs Port Adelaide: Goal Scorers
Searching for St Kilda vs Port Adelaide goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, P Adelaide's Mitch Georgiades is the most likely player to kick the first goal in St Kilda vs Port Adelaide.
Georgiades has a 10.6% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Power star has a 96.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
St Kilda
- Liam Ryan: 6.4% probability
- Jack Higgins: 6.3% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 5.3% probability
- Mitch Owens: 4.8% probability
- Darcy Wilson: 4.2% probability
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 10.6% probability
- Corey Durdin: 5.3% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 4.9% probability
- Jack Whitlock: 4.2% probability
- Xavier Bamert: 3.8% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
St Kilda
- Liam Ryan: 85.8% probability
- Jack Higgins: 83.3% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 77.1% probability
- Mitch Owens: 73.3% probability
- Darcy Wilson: 68.9% probability
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 96.0% probability
- Corey Durdin: 78.0% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 74.6% probability
- Jack Whitlock: 70.7% probability
- Xavier Bamert: 66.2% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the St Kilda vs Port Adelaide match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
St Kilda vs Port Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 18 clash between the Saints and Power at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:15pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: St Kilda vs Port Adelaide
- Date: Saturday 11 July 2026
- Time: 1:15pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our St Kilda vs Port Adelaide predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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