St Kilda vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 20, 2025
Last updated: Jul 27, 2025, 5:15AM | Published: Jul 21, 2025, 1:11AM
St Kilda will face Melbourne in AFL Round 20 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, starting at 3:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the St Kilda vs Melbourne game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's St Kilda vs Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Demons a 56% chance of defeating the Saints at Marvel Stadium.
St Kilda vs Melbourne: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $2.02, Melbourne $1.83
- Line: St Kilda +2.5 ($1.91), Melbourne -2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has St Kilda at $2.02 and Melbourne at $1.83.
The Saints are listed as 2.5-point underdogs against the Demons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Demons (-2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 168.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Demons (-2.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 168.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
St Kilda vs Melbourne: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Melbourne at $1.83 with Bet365
- Line: Melbourne -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 168.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's St Kilda vs Melbourne betting tips are based on world-class modelling and betting expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
St Kilda vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs Melbourne at Marvel Stadium on Sunday is Melbourne winning 85-81.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the St Kilda vs Melbourne match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.St Kilda vs Melbourne: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for St Kilda vs Melbourne goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Melbourne's Kysaiah Pickett is the most likely player to kick the first goal in St Kilda vs Melbourne.
Pickett has a 7.1% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Demons star has an 88.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: 5.4% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 5.4% probability
- Mason Wood: 5.3% probability
- Mitch Owens: 5.2% probability
- Max Hall: 4.2% probability
Melbourne
- Kysaiah Pickett: 7.1% probability
- Bayley Fritsch: 6.7% probability
- Jake Melksham: 6.2% probability
- Christian Petracca: 4.7% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 4.1% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: 81.1% probability
- Mitch Owens: 79.9% probability
- Mason Wood: 76.2% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 76.2% probability
- Max Hall: 68.2% probability
Melbourne
- Kysaiah Pickett: 88.8% probability
- Bayley Fritsch: 83.7% probability
- Jake Melksham: 83.0% probability
- Christian Petracca: 72.8% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 68.3% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the St Kilda vs Melbourne game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
St Kilda vs Melbourne: Essential Details
The AFL Round 20 clash between the Saints and Demons at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our St Kilda vs Melbourne predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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