St Kilda vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2025
Last updated: Jul 5, 2025, 9:40AM | Published: Jun 30, 2025, 2:55AM
St Kilda will take on the favoured Hawthorn in AFL Round 17 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, starting at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the St Kilda vs Hawthorn game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's St Kilda vs Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 71% chance of winning against the Saints at Marvel Stadium.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $3.35, Hawthorn $1.35
- Line: St Kilda +18.5 ($1.91), Hawthorn -18.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 166.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has St Kilda at $3.35 and Hawthorn at $1.35.
The Saints are 18.5-point underdogs against the Hawks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Hawks (-18.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 166.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Saints (+18.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 166.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: St Kilda at $3.35 with Bet365
- Line: St Kilda +18.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 166.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's St Kilda vs Hawthorn best bets are based on world-class modelling and gambling expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Hawks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs Hawthorn at Marvel Stadium on Saturday is Hawthorn winning 89-74.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the St Kilda vs Hawthorn match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the St Kilda vs Hawthorn game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn: Essential Details
The AFL Round 17 clash between the Saints and Hawks at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:40pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our St Kilda vs Hawthorn predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.
