St Kilda vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 12, 2026
Last updated: May 28, 2026, 9:32AM | Published: May 24, 2026, 6:25AM
St Kilda will sqaure off with the favoured Hawthorn in AFL Round 12 action at Marvel Stadium on Thursday, starting at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the St Kilda vs Hawthorn game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's St Kilda vs Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Hawks a 69% chance of beating the Saints at Marvel Stadium.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $3.60, Hawthorn $1.30
- Line: St Kilda +21.5 ($1.91), Hawthorn -21.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 179.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has St Kilda at $3.60 and Hawthorn at $1.30.
The Saints are listed as 21.5-point underdogs against the Hawks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Hawks (-21.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 179.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Saints (+21.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 179.5-point over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn: Best Bets
- Head to Head: St Kilda at $3.60 with Bet365
- Line: St Kilda +21.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 179.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across any sport.
These St Kilda vs Hawthorn best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting intelligence to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Hawks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our preferred option because of the 3.3% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs Hawthorn at Marvel Stadium on Thursday is Hawthorn winning 98-82.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the St Kilda vs Hawthorn match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the St Kilda vs Hawthorn game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn: Essential Details
The AFL Round 12 clash between the Saints and Hawks at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our St Kilda vs Hawthorn predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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