St Kilda vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 12, 2026
Last updated: May 25, 2026, 3:05AM | Published: May 24, 2026, 6:25AM
St Kilda will face the favoured Hawthorn in AFL Round 12 action at Marvel Stadium on Thursday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the St Kilda vs Hawthorn game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's St Kilda vs Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 63% chance of defeating the Saints in Round 12 of the 2026 AFL season.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $2.70, Hawthorn $1.47
- Line: St Kilda +13.5 ($1.91), Hawthorn -13.5 ($1.91)
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has St Kilda at $2.70 and Hawthorn at $1.47.
The Saints are 13.5-point underdogs against the Hawks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Hawks (-13.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn: Betting Tips
Today's St Kilda vs Hawthorn best bets are based on detailed modelling and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Hawks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs Hawthorn at Marvel Stadium this Thursday is Hawthorn winning 88-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the St Kilda vs Hawthorn match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the St Kilda vs Hawthorn match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn: Essential Details
The AFL Round 12 clash between the Saints and Hawks at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our St Kilda vs Hawthorn predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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