St Kilda vs Gold Coast Prediction and Odds - AFL Round 4, 2023
Apr 3, 2023, 2:21AM
St Kilda plays Gold Coast in AFL Round 4 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, starting at 7:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for St Kilda vs Gold Coast, as well as the latest betting odds, are featured in this article.
Who will win? St Kilda vs Gold Coast
Using high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's St Kilda-Gold Coast AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Saints a 65% chance of defeating the Suns at Marvel Stadium.
More: St Kilda vs Gold Coast Simulated 10,000 Times
St Kilda vs Gold Coast AFL Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $1.51, Gold Coast $2.94
- Line: St Kilda -14.5 ($2.02), Gold Coast +14.5 ($1.96)
- Total (Over/Under 159.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $2.00
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has St Kilda to win at $1.51 and Gold Coast to win at $2.94.
The Saints are listed as 14.5-point favourites against the Suns, with odds of $2.02 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Suns (+14.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.96.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 159.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Suns (+14.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the 159.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
St Kilda vs Gold Coast Best Bets
- Head to Head: Gold Coast at $2.94 with Betfair (0.8% edge)
- Line: Gold Coast +14.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (55% probability)
- Total Points: Under 159.5 at $2.00 with Betfair
These St Kilda vs Gold Coast predictions are based on market-leading modelling and wagering experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Saints have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Suns to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 159.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.00) that are available from Betfair.
St Kilda vs Gold Coast AFL Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs Gold Coast at Marvel Stadium on Saturday has St Kilda prevailing 85-74.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of St Kilda vs Gold Coast on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the St Kilda vs Gold Coast game at Marvel Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
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St Kilda vs Gold Coast AFL 2023
The AFL Round 4 clash between the Saints and Suns at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Game: St Kilda vs Gold Coast
- Date: Saturday 8 April 2023
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
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