St Kilda vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 22, 2026
Last updated: Aug 9, 2026, 9:20AM | Published: Aug 2, 2026, 10:25AM
St Kilda will sqaure off with Carlton in AFL Round 22 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 7:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the St Kilda vs Carlton game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's St Kilda vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Blues a 52% chance of defeating the Saints in Round 22 of the 2026 AFL season.
St Kilda vs Carlton: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $1.93, Carlton $1.89
- Line: St Kilda +0.5 ($1.91), Carlton -0.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 175.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has St Kilda at $1.93 and Carlton at $1.89.
The Saints are 0.5-point underdogs against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Blues (-0.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 175.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both St Kilda and Carlton have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 175.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
St Kilda vs Carlton: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carlton at $1.89 with Bet365
- Line: Carlton -0.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 175.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our St Kilda vs Carlton predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
St Kilda vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs Carlton at Marvel Stadium this Sunday is Carlton prevailing 88-87.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the St Kilda vs Carlton match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the St Kilda vs Carlton game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
St Kilda vs Carlton: Essential Details
The AFL Round 22 clash between the Saints and Blues at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:20pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our St Kilda vs Carlton predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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