St Kilda vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 3, 2026
Last updated: Mar 27, 2026, 9:55AM | Published: Mar 23, 2026, 1:00AM
St Kilda will face Brisbane in AFL Round 3 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 12:35pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the St Kilda vs Brisbane game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's St Kilda vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 63% chance of beating the Saints in Round 3 of the 2026 AFL season.
St Kilda vs Brisbane: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $2.40, Brisbane $1.58
- Line: St Kilda +9.5 ($1.91), Brisbane -9.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 187.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has St Kilda at $2.40 and Brisbane at $1.58.
The Saints are 9.5-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Lions (-9.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 187.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both St Kilda and Brisbane have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 187.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
St Kilda vs Brisbane: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Brisbane at $1.58 with Bet365
- Line: Brisbane -9.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 187.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's St Kilda vs Brisbane best bets are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
St Kilda vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs Brisbane at Marvel Stadium on Saturday is Brisbane winning 98-88.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the St Kilda vs Brisbane match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.St Kilda vs Brisbane: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for St Kilda vs Brisbane goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Brisbane's Logan Morris is the most likely player to kick the first goal in St Kilda vs Brisbane.
Morris has a 5.8% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Lions star has an 85.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
St Kilda
- Mitch Owens: 4.9% probability
- Jack Higgins: 4.8% probability
- Liam Ryan: 4.0% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 3.8% probability
- Max Hall: 3.7% probability
Brisbane
- Logan Morris: 5.8% probability
- Zac Bailey: 5.1% probability
- Oscar Allen: 5.0% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 4.6% probability
- Cam Rayner: 4.5% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: 79.0% probability
- Mitch Owens: 78.7% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 73.0% probability
- Liam Ryan: 72.0% probability
- Max Hall: 67.3% probability
Brisbane
- Logan Morris: 85.2% probability
- Zac Bailey: 79.8% probability
- Oscar Allen: 77.8% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 77.2% probability
- Cam Rayner: 75.8% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the St Kilda vs Brisbane match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
St Kilda vs Brisbane: Essential Details
The AFL Round 3 clash between the Saints and Lions at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:35pm AEDT on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our St Kilda vs Brisbane predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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