Spurs vs Thunder Prediction and NBA Tips - 29 May 2026
Last updated: May 29, 2026, 12:35AM | Published: May 28, 2026, 2:00PM
The San Antonio Spurs will face the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 5 of the 2026 NBA Western Conference Finals at Frost Bank Center on Friday, commencing at 10:30am AEST.
Led by the likes of Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle and De'Aaron Fox, the Spurs are up against a Thunder side that includes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Jared McCain.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Spurs vs Thunder game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's San Antonio vs Oklahoma City NBA Playoffs match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Spurs a 63% chance of defeating the Thunder at Frost Bank Center.
Spurs vs Thunder: Game 5 Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Friday's NBA game at Frost Bank Center are shown here:
- Head to Head: Spurs $1.62, Thunder $2.35
- Line: Spurs -3.5 ($1.91), Thunder +3.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 219.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Spurs at $1.62 and the Thunder at $2.35.
The Spurs are 3.5-point favourites against the Thunder, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Thunder (+3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 219.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Spurs (-3.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 219.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Spurs vs Thunder: Best Bets
- Head to Head: San Antonio at $1.62 with Bet365
- Line: Spurs -3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 219.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Spurs vs Thunder predictions are based on detailed simulations and wagering intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Spurs vs Thunder: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Spurs vs Thunder in Game 5 of the 2026 NBA Western Conference Finals on Friday is the Spurs winning 111-107.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the San Antonio vs Oklahoma City game on Friday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Spurs vs Thunder prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the San Antonio vs Oklahoma City game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NBA game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Spurs vs Thunder: Essential Details
The NBA game between the Spurs and Thunder in the NBA Western Conference Finals is scheduled to tip off at 10:30am AEST on Friday.
- Teams: San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Friday 29 May 2026
- Time: 10:30am AEST
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our San Antonio vs Oklahoma City predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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