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Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction - ATP Rio Open 2025

Sebastian Baez will face Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the semi-finals at the 2025 ATP Rio Open tournament on Sunday.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Baez vs Ugo Carabelli match, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Baez-Ugo Carabelli men's singles match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives Baez a 59% chance of winning against Ugo Carabelli at the ATP Rio Open tournament.

Baez vs Ugo Carabelli: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's ATP Rio Open match between Baez and Ugo Carabelli are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Baez $1.36, Ugo Carabelli $3.20
  • First Set: Baez $1.44, Ugo Carabelli $2.75

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Baez at $1.36 and Ugo Carabelli at $3.20.

TAB currently has odds for Baez to win the first set at $1.44 and odds for Ugo Carabelli to win the first set at $2.75.

Baez vs Ugo Carabelli: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Ugo Carabelli at $3.20 with TAB
  • First Set: Ugo Carabelli at $1.72 with TAB (55% probability)

If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.

These Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice every time.

Even though our predictive analytics model suggests that Baez is more likely to win the match, taking Ugo Carabelli to win is the best option because of the 10.7% edge we discovered when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.

Using the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.

And while Baez is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Ugo Carabelli ($1.72) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.

Baez vs Ugo Carabelli: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli match at the ATP Rio Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Baez-Ugo Carabelli match at the ATP Rio Open event.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Baez vs Ugo Carabelli: ATP Rio Open Essential Details

The 2025 ATP Rio Open match between Sebastian Baez and Camilo Ugo Carabelli is scheduled to start at 7:00am AEDT.

  • Match: Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
  • Date: Sunday 23 February 2025
  • Approx. Time: 7:00am AEDT
  • Event: ATP Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Men's Singles 2025
  • Round: Semi-finals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Stats Insider is your home for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, predictions for every tennis tournament, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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