Saints vs Falcons Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 12, 2025
Last updated: Nov 23, 2025, 11:08PM | Published: Nov 16, 2025, 5:01AM
The New Orleans Saints will take on the Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 12 action at Caesars Superdome on Monday, starting at 8:25am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Saints vs Falcons game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's New Orleans vs Atlanta NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Saints a 54% chance of winning against the Falcons in Week 12 of the NFL season.
Saints vs Falcons: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Caesars Superdome are listed here:
- Head to Head: Saints $1.74, Falcons $2.15
- Line: Saints -2 ($1.91), Falcons +2 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 40 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Saints at $1.74 and the Falcons at $2.15.
The Saints are listed as 2-point favourites against the Falcons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Falcons (+2) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 40 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Falcons (+2) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 40-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Saints vs Falcons: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Atlanta at $2.15 with Bet365
- Line: Falcons +2 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 40 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Saints vs Falcons predictions are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Saints have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Falcons to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Saints vs Falcons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Saints vs Falcons at Caesars Superdome in Week 12 is the Saints winning 20-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the New Orleans vs Atlanta game in Week 12, including data-driven predictions and live updatestips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Saints vs Falcons prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Saints vs Falcons: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Saints vs Falcons? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Saints vs Falcons.
Robinson has a 15.1% chance of getting in for six first at Caesars Superdome, while the Falcons RB has a 52.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Saints First TD Tips
- Chris Olave: 9.7% probability
- Alvin Kamara: 8.3% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 7.2% probability
- Devaughn Vele: 5.4% probability
- Taysom Hill: 5.4% probability
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 15.1% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 8.9% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 6.2% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 5.8% probability
- KhaDarel Hodge: 2.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Saints Anytime TD Tips
- Chris Olave: 35.3% probability
- Alvin Kamara: 31.0% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 27.6% probability
- Devaughn Vele: 21.5% probability
- Taysom Hill: 21.4% probability
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 52.5% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 35.7% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 26.4% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 24.8% probability
- KhaDarel Hodge: 12.6% probability
Saints-Falcons Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Tyler Shough is projected for 212 passing yards. The Falcons' Kirk Cousins is expected to throw for 218 yards.
Saints Starting QB
- Tyler Shough: 212 projected passing yards
Falcons Starting QB
- Kirk Cousins: 218 projected passing yards
Saints Rushing Yards
- Alvin Kamara: 58 projected yards
- Devin Neal: 17 projected yards
- Taysom Hill: 14 projected yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 84 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 29 projected yards
- Kirk Cousins: 4 projected yards
Saints Receiving Yards
- Chris Olave: 71 projected yards
- Juwan Johnson: 46 projected yards
- Devaughn Vele: 30 projected yards
- Mason Tipton: 22 projected yards
- Alvin Kamara: 19 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Darnell Mooney: 54 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 53 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 41 projected yards
- KhaDarel Hodge: 30 projected yards
- David Sills: 26 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the New Orleans vs Atlanta game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Saints vs Falcons: Week 12 Essential Details
The NFL Week 12 match-up between the Saints and Falcons at Caesars Superdome is scheduled to begin at 8:25am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Monday 24 November 2025
- Time: 8:25am AEDT
- Venue: Caesars Superdome
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our New Orleans vs Atlanta predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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