Sabres vs Maple Leafs Prediction and NHL Betting Tips - 22 February 2023

Feb 22, 2023, 12:01AM

The Buffalo Sabres face the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at KeyBank Center on Wednesday, beginning at 11:30am AEDT.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for Sabres vs Maple Leafs, plus the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are featured below.

Who will win? Sabres vs Maple Leafs

Using detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Wednesday's Sabres-Maple Leafs NHL game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 59% chance of winning against the Sabres at KeyBank Center.

More: Sabres vs Maple Leafs Simulated 10,000 Times

Buffalo vs Toronto Best Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's NHL clash at KeyBank Center are shown here:

Head to Head: Sabres $2.50, Maple Leafs $1.59
Line: Sabres +1.5 ($1.59), Maple Leafs -1.5 ($2.50)
Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.71, Under $2.20

Odds are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Sabres to win at $2.50 and the Maple Leafs to win at $1.59.

The Sabres are 1.5-goal underdogs against the Maple Leafs, with odds of $1.59 currrently on offer at bet365.

For the favoured Maple Leafs (-1.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $2.50.

The Over/Under for Sabres vs Maple Leafs has been set at 6.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.71 and odds for the Under at $2.20.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Sabres (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 52% chance of going Over.

More: Predictions for Every NHL Game

Sabres vs Maple Leafs NHL Betting Tips

Head to Head: Sabres at $2.50 with bet365 (1.1% edge)
Line: Sabres +1.5 at $1.59 with bet365 (63% probability)
Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $2.20 with bet365 (2.6% edge)

These Sabres vs Maple Leafs betting tips are based on complex modelling and betting intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Maple Leafs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Sabres to win is our recommended option due to the 1.1% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the best odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.

Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 6.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($2.20) that are available from PointsBet.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs Best Bets

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Buffalo vs Toronto on Wednesday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Sabres vs Maple Leafs? The data is in.

The most likely first goalscorer and most likely anytime goalscorer for both the Sabres and Maple Leafs are listed below.

According to Stats Insider, Toronto's Auston Matthews is the most likely player to score the first goal in Sabres vs Maple Leafs.

Matthews has an 8.7% chance of scoring the first goal at KeyBank Center, while the Maple Leafs star has a 46.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Sabres First Goal Scorer Tips

Tage Thompson: 7.1% probability
Jeff Skinner: 5.2% probability
Dylan Cozens: 5.0% probability
Victor Olofsson: 4.4% probability
Alex Tuch: 4.2% probability

Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips

Auston Matthews: 8.7% probability
William Nylander: 6.4% probability
Mitch Marner: 6.0% probability
John Tavares: 5.7% probability
Ryan O'Reilly: 4.7% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Sabres Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Tage Thompson: 35.2% probability
Dylan Cozens: 29.6% probability
Alex Tuch: 28.1% probability
Jeff Skinner: 27.9% probability
Victor Olofsson: 26.3% probability

Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Auston Matthews: 46.9% probability
William Nylander: 36.1% probability
Mitch Marner: 33.4% probability
John Tavares: 32.2% probability
Michael Bunting: 28.3% probability

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Buffalo vs Toronto game at KeyBank Center.

As always, check out our Best Bets for the best tips on every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs NHL 2023

The game between the Sabres and Maple Leafs at KeyBank Center is scheduled to commence at 11:30am AEDT on Wednesday.

Game: Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Date: Wednesday 22 February 2023
Time: 11:30am AEDT
Venue: KeyBank Center

All dates and times mentioned in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

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Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, predictions for every NHL game, and futures odds for the NHL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.