Sabres vs Lightning Prediction and NHL Betting Tips - 5 March 2023

Mar 4, 2023, 5:30AM

The Buffalo Sabres face the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at KeyBank Center on Sunday, beginning at 4:30am AEDT.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for Sabres vs Lightning, plus the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are featured in this article.

Who will win? Sabres vs Lightning

Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Sabres-Lightning NHL match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Lightning a 58% chance of defeating the Sabres at KeyBank Center.

More: Sabres vs Lightning Simulated 10K Times

Buffalo vs Tampa Bay Latest Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NHL game at KeyBank Center are listed below:

Head to Head: Sabres $2.40, Lightning $1.62
Line: Sabres +1.5 ($1.59), Lightning -1.5 ($2.55)
Total (Over/Under 7 Goals): Over $1.95, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Sabres to win at $2.40. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Lightning to win at $1.62.

The Sabres are listed as 1.5-goal underdogs against the Lightning, with odds of $1.59 currrently available at bet365.

For the favoured Lightning (-1.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $2.55.

The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 7 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95, while bet365 currently has odds for the Under at $1.91.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Sabres (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the line, while the 7-goal Over/Under has a 55% chance of staying Under.

More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports

Sabres vs Lightning NHL Best Bets

Head to Head: Sabres at $2.40 with bet365
Line: Sabres +1.5 at $1.59 with bet365 (63% probability)
Total Goals: Under 7 at $1.91 with bet365 (55% probability)

These Sabres vs Lightning predictions are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Lightning have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Sabres to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Sabres vs Lightning Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Buffalo vs Tampa Bay on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Sabres vs Lightning Player Props

Searching for Sabres vs Lightning try scorers? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Nikita Kucherov is the most likely player to score the first goal in Sabres vs Lightning.

Kucherov has a 7.8% chance of scoring the first goal at KeyBank Center, while the Lightning star has a 38.3% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Sabres First Goal Scorer Tips

Tage Thompson: 6.8% probability
Victor Olofsson: 5.5% probability
Dylan Cozens: 5.1% probability
Jeff Skinner: 5.1% probability
Jack Quinn: 4.0% probability

Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips

Nikita Kucherov: 7.8% probability
Brayden Point: 7.5% probability
Steven Stamkos: 6.8% probability
Brandon Hagel: 3.8% probability
Ross Colton: 3.7% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Sabres Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Tage Thompson: 35.7% probability
Jeff Skinner: 30.0% probability
Dylan Cozens: 28.7% probability
Victor Olofsson: 26.5% probability
Jack Quinn: 23.6% probability

Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Steven Stamkos: 38.5% probability
Nikita Kucherov: 38.3% probability
Brayden Point: 37.7% probability
Brandon Hagel: 23.6% probability
Ross Colton: 22.3% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Buffalo vs Tampa Bay match-up at KeyBank Center.

As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Sabres vs Lightning NHL 2023

The match-up between the Sabres and Lightning at KeyBank Center is scheduled to begin at 4:30am AEDT on Sunday.

Game: Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Date: Sunday 5 March 2023
Time: 4:30am AEDT
Venue: KeyBank Center

All dates and times mentioned in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

More About NHL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, tips for every NHL game, and futures probabilities for the NHL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.