I was going to write an entertaining, punchy intro here but really, to finish 2019 we went at 51.2% POT (Profit on Turnover) and so far in Jan 2020 we’re humming along at a very tidy 32.99%.

Your move unnecessary punchy intro!

We've a big week coming up with PGA, Euro Golf, BBL and some Australian Open futures so come in, pull up a chair and enjoy some chips, soda and maybe (probably) some late night streaking at Club 20!

AUSTRALIAN OPEN TENNIS - FUTURES

Full disclosure, last time I personally gave any sh!ts about anything happening at Rod Laver, little Lay Lay was firing, but there are plenty of 'tennis gurus' here at Club 20 who know (and can spell) all the up and comers presenting value in the outrights so we thought we’d tap one of them for some juicy futures which you can find here in a great yarn from Stats Insider's own James Rosewarne.

We’re going to have plenty of batshit crazy bets throughout the Australian Open, but for those who like to be more Val Kilmer and less Tom Cruise, you might like to know that the Stats Insider model went at a very nice 6.38% POT last year just betting H2H, Line and Totals.

Good chance we might do both hey? Maybe merge Val with Tom to create the Ryan Reynolds of betting strategies? Cue the Kenny Logins!

PGA TOUR – AMERICAN EXPRESS

This is the kind of tournament that is right up the alley of the idiots that make up the golf table here at Club 20.

Formerly known as the Bob Hope Classic, this event features three courses and a 54-hole cut and oh yeah, it’s a Pro-Am too, so that’s always fun. 

This is an absolute birdie fest traditionally and a great forecast this week means that trend is likely to continue. Going to need -20 just to be on the first page of the leaderboard come Sunday here.

We really like heaps of guys here but with a big Euro event on as well in Abu Dhabi, we’ve had to narrow our group down to four (yes, we liked almost double that!)

Abraham Ancer @ 40/8’s

Loved what we saw in Melbourne for the Presidents Cup late last year, he gets to play at the easier La Quinta Course first up and he is paired with former International teammate Sungjae Im – all positives. His proximity numbers look solid and if he can find even a semblance of that putter he had in Melbourne he will win by several shots.

Brian Harman @ 51/11’s

Missed the cut here last year but three years prior went T20, T3, T11 so he likes the track. Has the profile we’re looking for – hits his fairways and can get it close to give himself the opportunity. This field is not nearly strong enough to have Harman at 50’s, so we’re taking the odds on a guy who has had a great swing season and looks on the crest of a big finish.

Bud Cauley 67/14’s

Missed the cut last week but we’re going to forget last start, especially given he missed the 2017 Sony cut then followed up with a T3 here at -18. Cauley is a bit of a left-field selection but he likes Bermuda, he likes the event (T14, T3, T14 three years prior to MC 2019) and gets the easier course first up which traditionally has been essential to success.

Nate Lashley @ 81/17’s

Stats wise, Lashley is lighting up green all across the board in all of the key categories we’re looking at this week. Ranks 5th in the field proximity to flag with wedge in hand, essential at three very short courses, loves Bermuda greens and has two top 30’s in two starts here (T29 2018, T12 2019). Both times he has played here it has been the flat stick that has let him down but he gained 3.4 strokes on the field at the Sony last week so he is coming in with a hot putter. He keeps his drives on the short stuff and this price is going to look so, so good come Sunday afternoon.

EURO GOLF - ABU DHABI CHAMPIONSHIP

The much better field this week is in the UAE playing for a share of 7 million with 15 of the world top 50 in attendance.

The course is a beast. Big 7,583yd Par 72 which is expected to play even longer for at least the first two days given the amount of rain they’ve had over there. 

This course demands excellent ball striking so we’re looking at guys who are just really solid tee to green. Expect a winning score of around -17/-18 this week with the Bermuda greens likely to be slower than usual.

Loius Oosthuizen @ 17/4.20

The top three are too short and Oosty has been in great form coming off a 2d in the South African Open last week. Had Grace not drained every putt he had Oosty would have won easily. Tempted to start off our card with Shane Lowry instead at 20’s who finished T2 in Hong Kong last week and is defending his title here, but this course just screams Louis. His best will be more than enough. 

Danny Willett @ 36/8

Pure ball striker, good with his irons, can stay in play – only concern is he hasn’t had a Euro or PGA start since late November.

Ryan Fox @ 91/19

Fox has some sneaky good course history here (T27, T32, T19 last three starts) and he has the ball striking ability. It’s a flyer to be sure but this guy will win a big event soon and we will be on when he does.  

FOLLOW US ON TWITTER

With Big Bash and PGA 3-Ball multi’s to be had this afternoon and into the weekend, make sure you follow us at Club 20, so you don’t miss a bet!

Did you enjoy this article? Subscribe to our free mailing list to get the best content delivered straight to your inbox, or join the conversation by leaving a comment below or on the Stats Insider Twitter or Facebook page.