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Royals vs Pirates Prediction and MLB Tips - 10 July 2025

The Kansas City Royals will sqaure off with the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action at Kauffman Stadium on Thursday, commencing at 9:40am AEST.

The Royals will have Kris Bubic (7-6, 2.36 ERA) start, pitting him against Bailey Falter (6-4, 3.69 ERA) for the Pirates.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Royals vs Pirates game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Kansas City vs Pittsburgh MLB game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Royals a 63% chance of beating the Pirates at Kauffman Stadium.

Royals vs Pirates: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Kauffman Stadium are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Royals $1.53, Pirates $2.60
  • Line: Royals -1.5 ($2.04), Pirates +1.5 ($1.80)
  • Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Royals at $1.53 and the Pirates at $2.60.

The Royals are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Pirates, with odds of $2.04 available at TAB.

For the underdog Pirates (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.80.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.

Royals vs Pirates: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.60 with TAB
  • Line: Pirates +1.5 at $1.80 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB

Today's Royals vs Pirates betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Royals have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable punter in the long run.

Royals vs Pirates: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Kansas City vs Pittsburgh game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Kansas City vs Pittsburgh match-up.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Royals vs Pirates: Essential Details

The match-up between the Royals and Pirates at Kauffman Stadium is scheduled to commence at 9:40am AEST on Thursday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Kansas City vs Pittsburgh predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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