Roosters vs Storm Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 20, 2026
Last updated: Jul 17, 2026, 9:57AM | Published: Jul 12, 2026, 11:10PM
The Roosters will face the Storm in NRL Round 20 action at Allianz Stadium on Friday, commencing at 8:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Roosters vs Storm game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Sydney vs Melbourne NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Roosters a 79% chance of winning against the Storm at Allianz Stadium.
Roosters vs Storm: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at Allianz Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Roosters $1.27, Storm $3.85
- Line: Roosters -11.5 ($1.91), Storm +11.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Roosters at $1.27 and the Storm at $3.85.
The Roosters are 11.5-point favourites against the Storm, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Storm (+11.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Roosters (-11.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 44.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Roosters vs Storm: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Roosters at $1.27 with Bet365
- Line: Roosters -11.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Roosters vs Storm best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Roosters vs Storm: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Roosters vs Storm at Allianz Stadium on Friday is the Roosters winning 28-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Roosters vs Storm match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Roosters vs Storm: Try Scorers
Searching for Roosters vs Storm try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Roosters' Mark Nawaqanitawase is the most likely player to score the first try in Sydney vs Melbourne.
Nawaqanitawase has a 11.8% chance of scoring the first try at Allianz Stadium, while the Roosters star has a 57.9% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Sydney Roosters
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 11.8% probability
- Daniel Tupou: 11.6% probability
- Billy Smith: 5.8% probability
- Hugo Savala: 5.6% probability
- Cody Ramsey: 4.3% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Will Warbrick: 7.0% probability
- Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown: 4.4% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 3.5% probability
- Harry Grant: 3.2% probability
- Nick Meaney: 2.9% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Sydney Roosters
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 57.9% probability
- Daniel Tupou: 57.8% probability
- Hugo Savala: 34.6% probability
- Billy Smith: 34.4% probability
- Cody Ramsey: 30.0% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Will Warbrick: 42.5% probability
- Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown: 29.5% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 23.9% probability
- Harry Grant: 23.1% probability
- Tyran Wishart: 19.5% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Roosters vs Storm game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Roosters vs Storm: Essential Details
The NRL Round 20 clash between the Roosters and Storm at Allianz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Sydney Roosters vs Melbourne Storm
- Date: Friday 17 July 2026
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEST
- Location: Allianz Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Roosters vs Storm predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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