Roosters vs Knights Prediction and Tips - NRL Grand Final 2026
Last updated: Oct 4, 2026, 8:35AM | Published: Sep 27, 2026, 10:20PM
The Roosters will take on the Knights in the 2026 NRL Grand Final at Allianz Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 7:30pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Roosters vs Knights game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Sydney vs Newcastle NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Roosters a 77% chance of defeating the Knights at Allianz Stadium.
Roosters vs Knights: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Allianz Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Roosters $1.37, Knights $3.00
- Line: Roosters -8.5 ($1.91), Knights +8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Roosters at $1.37 and the Knights at $3.00.
The Roosters are listed as 8.5-point favourites against the Knights, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Knights (+8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Roosters (-8.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 43.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Roosters vs Knights: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Roosters at $1.37 with Bet365
- Line: Roosters -8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 43.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Roosters vs Knights betting tips are based on detailed modelling and gambling experience to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
Roosters vs Knights: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Roosters vs Knights at Allianz Stadium on Sunday is the Roosters winning 27-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Roosters vs Knights match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live updatestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Roosters vs Knights: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Roosters vs Knights try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Roosters' Daniel Tupou is the most likely player to score the first try in Sydney vs Newcastle.
Tupou has a 10.1% chance of scoring the first try at Allianz Stadium, while the Roosters star has a 50.1% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Sydney Roosters
- Daniel Tupou: 10.1% probability
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 9.8% probability
- Robert Toia: 6.4% probability
- James Tedesco: 6.2% probability
- Billy Smith: 4.6% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 8.6% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 7.8% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 5.1% probability
- Bradman Best: 3.7% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 3.1% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Sydney Roosters
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 50.9% probability
- Daniel Tupou: 50.1% probability
- James Tedesco: 38.0% probability
- Robert Toia: 34.6% probability
- Billy Smith: 29.2% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 44.0% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 41.6% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 29.4% probability
- Bradman Best: 24.6% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 20.2% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Roosters vs Knights game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Roosters vs Knights: Essential Details
The NRL Grand Final clash between the Roosters and Knights at Allianz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Sydney Roosters vs Newcastle Knights
- Date: Sunday 4 October 2026
- Kick-off: 7:30pm AEDT
- Location: Allianz Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Roosters vs Knights predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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