Roosters vs Cowboys Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 11, 2026
Last updated: May 16, 2026, 7:30AM | Published: May 10, 2026, 11:21PM
The Roosters will sqaure off with the Cowboys in NRL Round 11 action at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 5:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Roosters vs Cowboys game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Sydney vs North Queensland NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Roosters an 85% chance of defeating the Cowboys at Suncorp Stadium.
Roosters vs Cowboys: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Suncorp Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Roosters $1.20, Cowboys $4.60
- Line: Roosters -14.5 ($1.91), Cowboys +14.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 56.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Roosters at $1.20 and the Cowboys at $4.60.
The Roosters are 14.5-point favourites against the Cowboys, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Cowboys (+14.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 56.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Roosters (-14.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 56.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 60% of the time.
Roosters vs Cowboys: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Roosters at $1.20 with Bet365
- Line: Roosters -14.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 56.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.
Today's Roosters vs Cowboys best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Roosters vs Cowboys: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Roosters vs Cowboys at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday is the Roosters winning 33-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Roosters vs Cowboys match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Roosters vs Cowboys: Try Scorers
Looking for Roosters vs Cowboys try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Roosters' Daniel Tupou is the most likely player to score the first try in Sydney vs North Queensland.
Tupou has a 11.9% chance of scoring the first try at Suncorp Stadium, while the Roosters star has a 65.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Sydney Roosters
- Daniel Tupou: 11.9% probability
- James Tedesco: 7.8% probability
- Cody Ramsey: 6.3% probability
- Robert Toia: 6.0% probability
- Hugo Savala: 5.7% probability
North Queensland Cowboys
- Braidon Burns: 5.5% probability
- Jaxon Purdue: 5.0% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 4.3% probability
- Zac Laybutt: 3.8% probability
- Tom Chester: 3.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Sydney Roosters
- Daniel Tupou: 65.6% probability
- James Tedesco: 54.0% probability
- Cody Ramsey: 47.4% probability
- Robert Toia: 43.6% probability
- Hugo Savala: 41.7% probability
North Queensland Cowboys
- Braidon Burns: 41.8% probability
- Jaxon Purdue: 36.0% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 32.3% probability
- Zac Laybutt: 31.3% probability
- Tom Chester: 24.2% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Roosters vs Cowboys game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Roosters vs Cowboys: Essential Details
The NRL Round 11 clash between the Roosters and Cowboys at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Sydney Roosters vs North Queensland Cowboys
- Date: Saturday 16 May 2026
- Kick-off: 5:30pm AEST
- Location: Suncorp Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Roosters vs Cowboys predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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