Rockets vs Thunder Prediction and NBA Tips - 16 January 2026
Last updated: Jan 15, 2026, 4:09PM | Published: Jan 15, 2026, 2:09PM
The Houston Rockets will sqaure off with the Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action at Toyota Center on Friday, beginning at 11:30am AEDT.
With star players Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson, the Rockets are aiming to beat a Thunder side that includes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Rockets vs Thunder game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Houston vs Oklahoma City NBA game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Thunder a 65% chance of beating the Rockets at Toyota Center.
Rockets vs Thunder: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's NBA game at Toyota Center are shown here:
- Head to Head: Rockets $2.65, Thunder $1.50
- Line: Rockets +5 ($1.91), Thunder -5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 223.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Rockets at $2.65 and the Thunder at $1.50.
The Rockets are 5-point underdogs against the Thunder, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Thunder (-5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 223.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Rockets (+5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 223.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Rockets vs Thunder: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Oklahoma City at $1.50 with Bet365
- Line: Rockets +5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 223.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Rockets vs Thunder predictions are based on complex modelling and gambling expertise to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
Rockets vs Thunder: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Rockets vs Thunder at Toyota Center this Friday is the Thunder winning 113-109.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Houston vs Oklahoma City game on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Rockets vs Thunder prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Houston vs Oklahoma City game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NBA game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Rockets vs Thunder: Essential Details
The NBA game between the Rockets and Thunder at Toyota Center is scheduled to start at 11:30am AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Friday 16 January 2026
- Time: 11:30am AEDT
- Venue: Toyota Center
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Houston vs Oklahoma City predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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