Richmond vs Western Bulldogs Prediction and Odds - AFL Round 4, 2023
Last updated: Apr 10, 2023, 1:31PM | Published: Apr 3, 2023, 2:25AM
Richmond squares off with the Western Bulldogs in AFL Round 4 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 4:35pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Richmond vs Western Bulldogs, as well as the latest betting odds, are featured below.
Who will win? Richmond vs Western Bulldogs
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Richmond-Western Bulldogs AFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Tigers a 60% chance of winning against the Bulldogs in Round 4 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Richmond vs Western Bulldogs Simulated 10,000 Times
Richmond vs Western Bulldogs Best Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Richmond $1.65, Bulldogs $2.52
- Line: Richmond -7.5 ($1.94), Bulldogs +7.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 160.5 Points): Over $1.81, Under $2.04
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Richmond to win at $1.65 and the Bulldogs to win at $2.52.
The Tigers are 7.5-point favourites against the Bulldogs, with odds of $1.94 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Bulldogs (+7.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.00.
The Over/Under for Richmond vs Western Bulldogs is set at 160.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.81 and odds for the Under at $2.04.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Richmond and Bulldogs have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The Over/Under total of 160.5 points has a 59% chance of going Over.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Game
Richmond vs Western Bulldogs AFL Best Bets
- Head to Head: Bulldogs at $2.52 with Betfair (0.5% edge)
- Line: Bulldogs +7.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (50% probability)
- Total Points: Over 160.5 at $1.81 with Betfair (59% probability) 🔥
Any time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips of the day across all sports.
Stats Insider's Richmond vs Western Bulldogs predictions are based on complex simulations and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Tigers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bulldogs to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the Betfair odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Richmond vs Western Bulldogs AFL Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Western Bulldogs at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday has Richmond winning 86-79.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Richmond vs Western Bulldogs on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Richmond vs Bulldogs game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023
Richmond vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2023
The AFL Round 4 clash between the Tigers and Bulldogs at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 4:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Game: Richmond vs Western Bulldogs
- Date: Saturday 8 April 2023
- Time: 4:35pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
More About AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.