Richmond vs Sydney Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 3, 2024
Last updated: Mar 31, 2024, 4:33AM | Published: Mar 25, 2024, 12:30AM
Richmond will sqaure off with the favoured Sydney in AFL Round 3 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, starting at 4:00pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Richmond vs Sydney game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Richmond vs Sydney
Using high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Richmond-Sydney AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Swans a 74% chance of defeating the Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
More: Richmond vs Sydney Simulated 10K Times
Richmond vs Sydney: Odds
The latest betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Richmond $4.00, Sydney $1.32
- Line: Richmond +26.5 ($1.80), Sydney -26.5 ($2.04)
- Total (Over/Under 182.5 Points): Over $2.12, Under $1.87
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Richmond at $4.00 and Sydney at $1.32.
The Tigers are listed as 26.5-point underdogs against the Swans, with odds of $1.80 currently available at TAB.
For the favourite Swans (-26.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $2.04.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 182.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.12 and odds for the Under at $1.87.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Tigers (+26.5) have a 64% chance of covering the line, while the 182.5-point Over/Under has a 57% chance of staying Under.
More: AFL Premiership 2024 Probabilities and Odds
Richmond vs Sydney: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Richmond at $4.00 with (1.2% edge)
- Line: Richmond +26.5 at $1.80 with Betfair (64% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 182.5 at $1.87 with Betfair (57% probability)
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across any sport.
Our Richmond vs Sydney best bets are based on detailed simulations and gambling experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Swans have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our preferred option due to the 1.2% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Looking for further insight on Round 3 AFL action? Matt from Champion Bets has put his knowledge and background as a data scientist to work, finding markets that are easier to win money on.
He then uses this knowledge to provide you with the best bets of every AFL round straight to you.
Click here and use promo code STATS to get 20% off your AFL Champion Bets subscription.
Richmond vs Sydney: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Sydney at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Sunday has Sydney winning 97-80.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Richmond vs Sydney on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live scores.
Richmond vs Sydney: Goal Kickers
Looking for Richmond vs Sydney goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Richmond's Tom Lynch is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs Sydney.
Lynch has an 8.2% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Tigers star has a 92.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Richmond
- Tom Lynch: 8.2% probability
- Shai Bolton: 5.0% probability
- Seth Campbell: 3.7% probability
- Tim Taranto: 2.7% probability
- Liam Baker: 2.4% probability
Sydney
- Tom Papley: 6.8% probability
- Isaac Heeney: 6.5% probability
- Logan McDonald: 6.0% probability
- Will Hayward: 5.0% probability
- Joel Amartey: 4.7% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Richmond
- Tom Lynch: 92.2% probability
- Shai Bolton: 76.7% probability
- Seth Campbell: 64.6% probability
- Tim Taranto: 57.6% probability
- Liam Baker: 53.0% probability
Sydney
- Tom Papley: 88.4% probability
- Isaac Heeney: 86.1% probability
- Logan McDonald: 84.6% probability
- Joel Amartey: 78.1% probability
- Will Hayward: 76.9% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Richmond vs Sydney game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Richmond vs Sydney: Preview
The AFL Round 3 clash between the Tigers and Swans at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 4:00pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Sydney
- Date: Sunday 31 March 2024
- Time: 4:00pm AEDT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our Richmond vs Sydney predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.
