Richmond vs Sydney Prediction and Odds - AFL Round 5, 2023
Apr 10, 2023, 11:06PM
Richmond faces Sydney in AFL Round 5 action at Adelaide Oval on Friday, commencing at 8:10pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Richmond vs Sydney, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.
Who will win? Richmond vs Sydney
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Richmond-Sydney AFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Swans a 53% chance of winning against the Tigers in Round 5 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Full Betting Analysis for Tigers vs Swans
Richmond vs Sydney AFL Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed here:
- Head to Head: Richmond $2.44, Sydney $1.68
- Line: Richmond +7.5 ($1.96), Sydney -7.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 160.5 Points): Over $1.89, Under $1.98
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Richmond to win at $2.44 and Sydney to win at $1.68.
The Tigers are listed as 7.5-point underdogs against the Swans, with odds of $1.96 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Swans (-7.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.00.
The Over/Under for Richmond vs Sydney is set at 160.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.89 and odds for the Under at $1.98.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Tigers (+7.5) have a 57% chance of covering the line, while the 160.5-point Over/Under has a 60% chance of going Over.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Richmond vs Sydney AFL Best Bets
- Head to Head: Richmond at $2.44 with Betfair (6.1% edge) 🔥
- Line: Richmond +7.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (57% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 160.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (60% probability) 🔥
Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.
These Richmond vs Sydney betting tips are based on world-class simulations and wagering experience to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Swans have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our preferred option due to the 6.1% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Richmond vs Sydney Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Sydney at Adelaide Oval this Friday has Sydney prevailing 83-81.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Richmond vs Sydney on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Richmond vs Sydney Goal Scorers
Looking for Richmond vs Sydney goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Richmond's Jack Riewoldt is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs Sydney.
Riewoldt has a 7.0% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Tigers star has an 85.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Richmond
- Jack Riewoldt: 7.0% probability
- Noah Cumberland: 6.2% probability
- Shai Bolton: 5.0% probability
- Dustin Martin: 4.6% probability
- Judson Clarke: 3.0% probability
Sydney
- Isaac Heeney: 6.8% probability
- Tom Papley: 6.4% probability
- Will Hayward: 5.2% probability
- Logan McDonald: 4.4% probability
- Joel Amartey: 3.5% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Richmond
- Jack Riewoldt: 85.2% probability
- Noah Cumberland: 81.7% probability
- Shai Bolton: 73.7% probability
- Dustin Martin: 73.6% probability
- Judson Clarke: 54.0% probability
Sydney
- Tom Papley: 84.3% probability
- Isaac Heeney: 82.9% probability
- Will Hayward: 76.7% probability
- Logan McDonald: 72.2% probability
- Joel Amartey: 61.4% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Richmond vs Sydney game at Adelaide Oval.
As always, check out our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
Richmond vs Sydney AFL 2023
The AFL Round 5 clash between the Tigers and Swans at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to commence at 8:10pm AEST on Friday.
- Game: Richmond vs Sydney
- Date: Friday 14 April 2023
- Time: 8:10pm AEST
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
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