Richmond vs Port Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 4, 2026
Last updated: Apr 3, 2026, 8:31PM | Published: Mar 29, 2026, 8:21AM
Richmond will face the favoured Port Adelaide in AFL Round 4 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 4:15pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Richmond vs Port Adelaide game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Richmond vs Port Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Power a 65% chance of winning against the Tigers in Round 4 of the 2026 AFL season.
Richmond vs Port Adelaide: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Richmond $2.70, Port Adelaide $1.47
- Line: Richmond +13.5 ($1.91), Port Adelaide -13.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 178.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Richmond at $2.70 and Port Adelaide at $1.47.
The Tigers are listed as 13.5-point underdogs against the Power, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Power (-13.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 178.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Tigers (+13.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 178.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Richmond vs Port Adelaide: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Richmond at $2.70 with Bet365
- Line: Richmond +13.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 178.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Richmond vs Port Adelaide best bets are based on market-leading simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Power have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Richmond vs Port Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Port Adelaide at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday is Port Adelaide winning 95-82.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Richmond vs Port Adelaide match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Richmond vs Port Adelaide: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for Richmond vs Port Adelaide goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, P Adelaide's Mitch Georgiades is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs Port Adelaide.
Georgiades has a 9.2% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Power star has a 93.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Richmond
- Jonty Faull: 5.4% probability
- Mykelti Lefau: 4.5% probability
- Seth Campbell: 4.3% probability
- Sam Lalor: 4.0% probability
- Steely Green: 2.9% probability
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 9.2% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 6.3% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 4.6% probability
- Corey Durdin: 4.2% probability
- Jack Whitlock: 4.1% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Richmond
- Jonty Faull: 81.0% probability
- Mykelti Lefau: 76.9% probability
- Seth Campbell: 72.7% probability
- Sam Lalor: 70.8% probability
- Steely Green: 60.5% probability
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 93.7% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 84.6% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 77.4% probability
- Corey Durdin: 73.8% probability
- Jack Whitlock: 69.5% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Richmond vs Port Adelaide game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Richmond vs Port Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 4 clash between the Tigers and Power at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 4:15pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Port Adelaide
- Date: Saturday 4 April 2026
- Time: 4:15pm AEDT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Richmond vs Port Adelaide predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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