Richmond vs Port Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 4, 2026
Last updated: Apr 4, 2026, 5:10AM | Published: Mar 29, 2026, 8:21AM
Richmond will face the favoured Port Adelaide in AFL Round 4 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 4:15pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Richmond vs Port Adelaide game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Richmond vs Port Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Power a 67% chance of beating the Tigers in Round 4 of the 2026 AFL season.
Richmond vs Port Adelaide: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Richmond $3.00, Port Adelaide $1.40
- Line: Richmond +16.5 ($1.91), Port Adelaide -16.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 178.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Richmond at $3.00 and Port Adelaide at $1.40.
The Tigers are 16.5-point underdogs against the Power, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Power (-16.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 178.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Tigers (+16.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 178.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Richmond vs Port Adelaide: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Richmond at $3.00 with Bet365
- Line: Richmond +16.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 178.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Richmond vs Port Adelaide best bets are based on detailed modelling and betting expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Power have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Richmond vs Port Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Port Adelaide at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday is Port Adelaide prevailing 95-81.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Richmond vs Port Adelaide match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Richmond vs Port Adelaide: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for Richmond vs Port Adelaide goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, P Adelaide's Mitch Georgiades is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs Port Adelaide.
Georgiades has an 8.8% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Power star has a 93.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Richmond
- Jonty Faull: 5.6% probability
- Mykelti Lefau: 4.4% probability
- Seth Campbell: 4.3% probability
- Sam Lalor: 4.2% probability
- Steely Green: 3.1% probability
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 8.8% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 5.8% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 4.8% probability
- Corey Durdin: 4.4% probability
- Jack Whitlock: 3.8% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Richmond
- Jonty Faull: 81.0% probability
- Mykelti Lefau: 76.9% probability
- Seth Campbell: 72.7% probability
- Sam Lalor: 70.8% probability
- Steely Green: 60.5% probability
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 93.7% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 84.6% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 77.4% probability
- Corey Durdin: 73.8% probability
- Jack Whitlock: 69.5% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Richmond vs Port Adelaide game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Richmond vs Port Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 4 clash between the Tigers and Power at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 4:15pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Port Adelaide
- Date: Saturday 4 April 2026
- Time: 4:15pm AEDT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Richmond vs Port Adelaide predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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