Richmond vs North Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 10, 2025
Last updated: May 18, 2025, 3:09AM | Published: May 14, 2025, 9:57PM
Richmond will take on North Melbourne in AFL Round 10 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, beginning at 1:10pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Richmond vs North Melbourne game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Richmond vs North Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Kangaroos a 64% chance of defeating the Tigers in Round 10 of the 2025 AFL season.
Richmond vs North Melbourne: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Richmond $2.50, North Melbourne $1.54
- Line: Richmond +10.5 ($1.91), North Melbourne -10.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 171.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Richmond at $2.50 and North Melbourne at $1.54.
The Tigers are 10.5-point underdogs against the Kangaroos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Kangaroos (-10.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 171.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookies have got it right and both Richmond and North Melbourne have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 171.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Richmond vs North Melbourne: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: North Melbourne at $1.54 with Bet365
- Line: Richmond +10.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 171.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Richmond vs North Melbourne best bets are based on complex modelling and gambling expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Richmond vs North Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs North Melbourne at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Sunday is North Melbourne prevailing 90-80.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Richmond vs North Melbourne match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Richmond vs North Melbourne: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for Richmond vs North Melbourne goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Richmond's Tom Lynch is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs North Melbourne.
Lynch has a 9.9% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Tigers star has a 95.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Richmond
- Tom Lynch: 9.9% probability
- Seth Campbell: 4.7% probability
- Rhyan Mansell: 4.4% probability
- Steely Green: 4.0% probability
- Tim Taranto: 3.2% probability
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 8.0% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 6.5% probability
- Finnbar Maley: 5.0% probability
- Luke Parker: 4.1% probability
- Jack Darling: 3.9% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Richmond
- Tom Lynch: 95.9% probability
- Rhyan Mansell: 75.2% probability
- Seth Campbell: 74.9% probability
- Steely Green: 68.4% probability
- Tim Taranto: 56.9% probability
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 91.7% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 84.0% probability
- Finnbar Maley: 76.5% probability
- Jack Darling: 69.7% probability
- Luke Parker: 64.7% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Richmond vs North Melbourne game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Richmond vs North Melbourne: Essential Details
The AFL Round 10 clash between the Tigers and Kangaroos at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 1:10pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Richmond vs North Melbourne
- Date: Sunday 18 May 2025
- Time: 1:10pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Richmond vs North Melbourne predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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