Richmond vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 19, 2026
Last updated: Jul 14, 2026, 9:40PM | Published: Jul 12, 2026, 10:25AM
Richmond will sqaure off with the favoured Hawthorn in AFL Round 19 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, beginning at 1:10pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Richmond vs Hawthorn game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Richmond vs Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 93% chance of defeating the Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Richmond vs Hawthorn: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Richmond $11.00, Hawthorn $1.04
- Line: Richmond +51.5 ($1.91), Hawthorn -51.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 173.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Richmond at $11.00 and Hawthorn at $1.04.
The Tigers are listed as 51.5-point underdogs against the Hawks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Hawks (-51.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 173.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Richmond and Hawthorn have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 173.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Richmond vs Hawthorn: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Richmond at $11.00 with Bet365
- Line: Richmond +51.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 173.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Richmond vs Hawthorn best bets are based on market-leading simulations and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
While the Hawks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Richmond vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Hawthorn at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Sunday is Hawthorn winning 112-61.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Richmond vs Hawthorn match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Richmond vs Hawthorn game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Richmond vs Hawthorn: Essential Details
The AFL Round 19 clash between the Tigers and Hawks at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 1:10pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Hawthorn
- Date: Sunday 19 July 2026
- Time: 1:10pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Richmond vs Hawthorn predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.
