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Richmond vs Gold Coast Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 2, 2026

Richmond will sqaure off with the favoured Gold Coast in AFL Round 2 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, commencing at 1:15pm AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Richmond vs Gold Coast game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Richmond vs Gold Coast AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Suns an 83% chance of defeating the Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.

Richmond vs Gold Coast: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Richmond $5.00, Gold Coast $1.18
  • Line: Richmond +31.5 ($1.91), Gold Coast -31.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 188.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Richmond at $5.00 and Gold Coast at $1.18.

The Tigers are listed as 31.5-point underdogs against the Suns, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Suns (-31.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 188.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookies have got it right and both Richmond and Gold Coast have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 188.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.

Richmond vs Gold Coast: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Gold Coast at $1.18 with Bet365
  • Line: Gold Coast -31.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Over 188.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Our Richmond vs Gold Coast best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.

Richmond vs Gold Coast: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Gold Coast at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday is Gold Coast prevailing 110-78.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Richmond vs Gold Coast match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Richmond vs Gold Coast: Goal Kickers

Are you looking for Richmond vs Gold Coast goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Gold Coast's Ben King is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs Gold Coast.

King has an 8.6% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Suns star has a 93.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.

Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Kicker Tips

Richmond

  • Tom Lynch: 7.2% probability
  • Mykelti Lefau: 4.1% probability
  • Harry Armstrong: 3.4% probability
  • Seth Campbell: 3.4% probability
  • Sam Lalor: 3.2% probability

Gold Coast

  • Ben King: 8.6% probability
  • Bailey Humphrey: 6.5% probability
  • Ben Long: 6.3% probability
  • Christian Petracca: 5.3% probability
  • Ethan Read: 4.1% probability

Anytime Goal Kicker Tips

Richmond

  • Tom Lynch: 90.5% probability
  • Mykelti Lefau: 69.9% probability
  • Harry Armstrong: 66.2% probability
  • Seth Campbell: 65.5% probability
  • Sam Lalor: 63.5% probability

Gold Coast

  • Ben King: 93.9% probability
  • Bailey Humphrey: 88.7% probability
  • Ben Long: 88.2% probability
  • Christian Petracca: 81.3% probability
  • Ethan Read: 74.3% probability

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Richmond vs Gold Coast match.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Richmond vs Gold Coast: Essential Details

The AFL Round 2 clash between the Tigers and Suns at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 1:15pm AEDT on Saturday.

  • Teams: Richmond vs Gold Coast
  • Date: Saturday 21 March 2026
  • Time: 1:15pm AEDT
  • Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Richmond vs Gold Coast predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

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Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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