Richmond vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2026
Last updated: May 17, 2026, 8:25PM | Published: May 17, 2026, 12:31PM
Richmond will sqaure off with the favoured Essendon in AFL Round 11 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, commencing at 7:45pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Richmond vs Essendon game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Richmond vs Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Bombers a 67% chance of defeating the Tigers in Round 11 of the 2026 AFL season.
Richmond vs Essendon: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Richmond $3.00, Essendon $1.40
- Line: Richmond +15.5 ($1.91), Essendon -15.5 ($1.91)
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Richmond at $3.00 and Essendon at $1.40.
The Tigers are 15.5-point underdogs against the Bombers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Bombers (-15.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
Richmond vs Essendon: Betting Tips
These Richmond vs Essendon betting tips are based on world-class modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Bombers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Richmond vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Essendon at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday is Essendon winning 90-76.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Richmond vs Essendon match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Richmond vs Essendon game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Richmond vs Essendon: Essential Details
The AFL Round 11 clash between the Tigers and Bombers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:45pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Essendon
- Date: Friday 22 May 2026
- Time: 7:45pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Richmond vs Essendon predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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