Richmond vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2026
Last updated: Jun 28, 2026, 3:45PM | Published: Jun 28, 2026, 8:30AM
Richmond will take on the favoured Carlton in AFL Round 17 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 7:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Richmond vs Carlton game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Richmond vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Blues an 86% chance of beating the Tigers in Round 17 of the 2026 AFL season.
Richmond vs Carlton: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Richmond $6.25, Carlton $1.12
- Line: Richmond +36.5 ($1.91), Carlton -36.5 ($1.91)
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Richmond at $6.25 and Carlton at $1.12.
The Tigers are listed as 36.5-point underdogs against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Blues (-36.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
Richmond vs Carlton: Best Bets
These Richmond vs Carlton predictions are based on detailed modelling and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Blues have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Richmond vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Carlton at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday is Carlton winning 102-66.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Richmond vs Carlton match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Richmond vs Carlton game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Richmond vs Carlton: Essential Details
The AFL Round 17 clash between the Tigers and Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Carlton
- Date: Saturday 4 July 2026
- Time: 7:35pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Richmond vs Carlton predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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