Richmond vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 9, 2026
Last updated: May 10, 2026, 5:16AM | Published: May 3, 2026, 10:25AM
Richmond will face the favoured Adelaide in AFL Round 9 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, starting at 3:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Richmond vs Adelaide game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Richmond vs Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Crows an 85% chance of winning against the Tigers in Round 9 of the 2026 AFL season.
Richmond vs Adelaide: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Richmond $7.00, Adelaide $1.10
- Line: Richmond +39.5 ($1.91), Adelaide -39.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 179.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Richmond at $7.00 and Adelaide at $1.10.
The Tigers are 39.5-point underdogs against the Crows, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Crows (-39.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 179.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Tigers (+39.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 179.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Richmond vs Adelaide: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Richmond at $7.00 with Bet365
- Line: Richmond +39.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 179.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across all sports.
Today's Richmond vs Adelaide best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Crows have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Richmond vs Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Adelaide at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday is Adelaide winning 106-72.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Richmond vs Adelaide match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Richmond vs Adelaide game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Richmond vs Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 9 clash between the Tigers and Crows at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 3:15pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Adelaide
- Date: Sunday 10 May 2026
- Time: 3:15pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Richmond vs Adelaide predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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