Richmond vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 9, 2026

Richmond will sqaure off with the favoured Adelaide in AFL Round 9 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, commencing at 3:15pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Richmond vs Adelaide game, plus the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Richmond vs Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Crows an 84% chance of beating the Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.

Richmond vs Adelaide: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:

• Head to Head: Richmond $6.00, Adelaide $1.13
• Line: Richmond +35.5 ($1.91), Adelaide -35.5 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 182.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Richmond at $6.00 and Adelaide at $1.13.

The Tigers are listed as 35.5-point underdogs against the Crows, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Crows (-35.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 182.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Tigers (+35.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 182.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.

Richmond vs Adelaide: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Richmond at $6.00 with Bet365
• Line: Richmond +35.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Under 182.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

These Richmond vs Adelaide predictions are based on market-leading simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Crows have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

Richmond vs Adelaide: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Adelaide at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday is Adelaide winning 106-73.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Richmond vs Adelaide match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.

Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Richmond vs Adelaide match.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Richmond vs Adelaide: Essential Details

The AFL Round 9 clash between the Tigers and Crows at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 3:15pm AEST on Sunday.

• Teams: Richmond vs Adelaide
• Date: Sunday 10 May 2026
• Time: 3:15pm AEST
• Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Richmond vs Adelaide predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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