Richmond vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 16, 2025
Last updated: Jun 24, 2025, 4:10AM | Published: Jun 23, 2025, 12:40AM
Richmond will face the favoured Adelaide in AFL Round 16 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, starting at 3:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Richmond vs Adelaide game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Richmond vs Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Crows a 91% chance of beating the Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Richmond vs Adelaide: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Richmond $6.50, Adelaide $1.11
- Line: Richmond +37.5 ($1.91), Adelaide -37.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 174.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Richmond at $6.50 and Adelaide at $1.11.
The Tigers are 37.5-point underdogs against the Crows, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Crows (-37.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 174.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Richmond and Adelaide have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 174.5-point over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Richmond vs Adelaide: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Adelaide at $1.11 with Bet365
- Line: Richmond +37.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 174.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Richmond vs Adelaide best bets are based on market-leading simulations and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
Richmond vs Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Adelaide at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday is Adelaide winning 106-69.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Richmond vs Adelaide match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Richmond vs Adelaide game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Richmond vs Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 16 clash between the Tigers and Crows at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Adelaide
- Date: Sunday 29 June 2025
- Time: 3:20pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Richmond vs Adelaide predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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