Richmond vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 16, 2025
Last updated: Jun 29, 2025, 5:10AM | Published: Jun 23, 2025, 12:40AM
Richmond will take on the favoured Adelaide in AFL Round 16 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, commencing at 3:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Richmond vs Adelaide game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Richmond vs Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Crows a 93% chance of defeating the Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Richmond vs Adelaide: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Richmond $6.75, Adelaide $1.12
- Line: Richmond +37.5 ($1.91), Adelaide -37.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 167.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Richmond at $6.75 and Adelaide at $1.12.
The Tigers are listed as 37.5-point underdogs against the Crows, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Crows (-37.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 167.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Crows (-37.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 167.5-point over/under is expected to go over 62% of the time.
Richmond vs Adelaide: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Adelaide at $1.12 with Bet365
- Line: Adelaide -37.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 167.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets for today across any sport.
Stats Insider's Richmond vs Adelaide predictions are based on world-class modelling and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.
Richmond vs Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Adelaide at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday is Adelaide winning 107-65.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Richmond vs Adelaide match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Richmond vs Adelaide: Goal Scorers
Looking for Richmond vs Adelaide goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Adelaide's Taylor Walker is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs Adelaide.
Walker has a 7.4% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Crows star has an 88.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Richmond
- Tom Lynch: 6.3% probability
- Mykelti Lefau: 4.0% probability
- Rhyan Mansell: 3.4% probability
- Seth Campbell: 3.2% probability
- Steely Green: 2.6% probability
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 7.4% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 6.2% probability
- Josh Rachele: 5.9% probability
- Izak Rankine: 5.9% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 5.5% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Richmond
- Tom Lynch: 85.0% probability
- Mykelti Lefau: 66.2% probability
- Seth Campbell: 63.1% probability
- Rhyan Mansell: 62.9% probability
- Steely Green: 53.7% probability
Adelaide
- Taylor Walker: 88.7% probability
- Darcy Fogarty: 83.3% probability
- Izak Rankine: 83.2% probability
- Josh Rachele: 82.3% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 82.1% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Richmond vs Adelaide game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Richmond vs Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 16 clash between the Tigers and Crows at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Adelaide
- Date: Sunday 29 June 2025
- Time: 3:20pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Richmond vs Adelaide predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.
