Reds vs Mets Prediction and MLB Tips - 18 June 2026
Last updated: Jun 17, 2026, 4:34PM | Published: Jun 16, 2026, 5:28PM
The Cincinnati Reds will sqaure off with the New York Mets in MLB action at Great American Ball Park on Thursday, beginning at 2:40am AEST.
Nick Lodolo (2-1, 5.21 ERA) will start for the Reds, while the Mets are going with Nolan McLean (3-4, 4.01 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Reds vs Mets game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Cincinnati vs NY Mets MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 55% chance of winning against the Reds at Great American Ball Park.
Reds vs Mets: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Great American Ball Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Reds $2.15, Mets $1.74
- Line: Reds +1.5 ($1.72), Mets -1.5 ($2.20)
- Total (Over/Under 9 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Reds at $2.15 and the Mets at $1.74.
The Reds are 1.5-run underdogs against the Mets, with odds of $1.72 available at TAB.
For the favourite Mets (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.20.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Reds (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 9-run over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Reds vs Mets: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Cincinnati at $2.15 with TAB
- Line: Reds +1.5 at $1.72 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 9 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Reds vs Mets betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Reds to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Reds vs Mets: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Cincinnati vs NY Mets game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Cincinnati vs NY Mets game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Reds vs Mets: Essential Details
The game between the Reds and Mets at Great American Ball Park is scheduled to begin at 2:40am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets
- Date: Thursday 18 June 2026
- Time: 2:40am AEST
- Venue: Great American Ball Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Cincinnati vs NY Mets predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on MLB
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.

