Reds vs Astros Prediction and MLB Tips - 11 May 2026
Last updated: May 10, 2026, 5:40PM | Published: May 10, 2026, 2:31AM
The Cincinnati Reds will take on the Houston Astros in MLB action at Great American Ball Park on Monday, commencing at 3:40am AEST.
Andrew Abbott (1-2, 5.13 ERA) will start on the mound for the Reds, while the Astros are going with Kai-Wei Teng (1-2, 2.35 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Reds vs Astros game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Cincinnati vs Houston MLB game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model is currently unable to split the two teams, giving both the Reds and the Astros an equal 50% chance of winning the game.
Reds vs Astros: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Great American Ball Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Reds $1.87, Astros $1.95
- Line: Reds -1.5 ($2.70), Astros +1.5 ($1.49)
- Total (Over/Under 9 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Reds at $1.87 and the Astros at $1.95.
The Reds are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Astros, with odds of $2.70 available at TAB.
For the underdog Astros (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.49.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Astros (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 65% of the time, while the 9-run over/under is expected to go over 57% of the time.
Reds vs Astros: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Houston at $1.95 with TAB
- Line: Astros +1.5 at $1.49 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 9 at $1.91 with TAB
These Reds vs Astros best bets are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Reds vs Astros: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Cincinnati vs Houston game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Cincinnati vs Houston match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Reds vs Astros: Essential Details
The match-up between the Reds and Astros at Great American Ball Park is scheduled to start at 3:40am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros
- Date: Monday 11 May 2026
- Time: 3:40am AEST
- Venue: Great American Ball Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Cincinnati vs Houston predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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